Requirement 2:
Caveat: The analysis is limited by the information available in the problem. The
learning objective of this assignment is to enable the students to evaluate the
cash flow statement rather than perform a comprehensive analysis of the
financial performance of Opus One, Inc.
The cash flow from operations (CFO) of Opus One, Inc., is almost 11 times the
net income of the company. Given the Wall Street adage that “Cash Flow is
King and Earnings Don’t Matter,” does this mean that the financial performance
of Opus One is really 11 times better than that indicated by its net income? Let
us examine the sources of the high CFO to see whether Opus One can sustain
this level of cash flow in the future.
First of all, the company’s receivables decreased by more than $1.5 million,
meaning the company collected that much more cash than the revenue
booked in the income statement. This might be good news if the company has
improved its collection efforts. Even so, this is unlikely to happen year after
year. Consequently, this is likely to be a temporary phenomenon.
A second source of the higher cash flow is the drop in the level of inventory.
One possibility is that the drop is due to an unexpected sale at the end of the
year. However, this is unlikely since the company experienced a drop in the
receivables also; i.e, if there were unexpectedly large sales at the end of the
year, we might expect the accounts receivable to have gone up. More
importantly, inventory level provides a signal about future demand; i.e,
companies are likely to build up (decrease) inventories when they expect a
surge (fall) in demand. Therefore, another possibility is that the company saved
some cash in the current year by buying less inventory, but it might generate
less cash during the next year by selling less inventory. In any case, it is
unlikely that inventory levels can continue to decrease when companies are
growing. (In fact, in the following year, the company built up almost $10 million
of inventory which resulted in a negative CFO.) The main message here is that
neither cash flows nor accounting income by itself can tell the whole story. A
joint examination of the two is likely to be instructive.
A third factor is the increase in accounts payable by more than $3 million. More
credit from suppliers is not necessarily a bad sign; i.e, suppliers are unlikely to
extend credit when they believe their customers have impending financial
difficulties. However, an increase in accounts payable often coincides with a
buildup of inventory. Consequently, one should examine why Opus One’s
accounts payable are increasing when its inventory level is falling. One
possibility is that the company was “forced” to pay off its revolving credit under
the current agreement (see financing cash flow). This might have delayed
payments to suppliers.
17-5
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