5.9 Table 5.17 provides the U.S. Census Bureau estimate of the population of the city of Boston
from 1680 to 2010.
Enter this data into a spreadsheet and make a graph of population over time. (a) Does the
population growth follow exponential or logistic growth? (b) How many years did it take for
Boston to double its population from 12,000 to 24,000 and from 2 million to 4 million? takes for
the population to double to 8.8 million? (c) Using you knowledge of half life from Chapter 3,
determine the rate constant for this population growth. Is the rate of growth changing over time?
If so, by how much in percent?
Solution:
From the graph, it is visually evident that the population data follows exponential growth.
b) From Table 5.17, the population is 12,000 in year 1720 and reaches 24,900 in 1800. Thus, it
takes 80 years for Boston to double its population from 12,000 to 24,000.
From Table 5.17, the population is 2,301,000 in 1950 and doubles to 4 million in 50 years (in
the year 2000 the population is 4,032,000).
Looking at the graph, the population of Boston will double to 8.8 million shortly (less than 30
years).
c) In Figure 3.12, it is shown that the rate constant for exponential decay (or growth) (first order
reacdtion) can be determined by graphing the natural log of the concentration/population over
time and finding the slope of the line (which the rate constant in units of per time). This method
is used to calculate the rate constant for the Boston population data in the figure below.
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
3500
4000
4500
1660 1710 1760 1810 1860 1910 1960 2010
Populations (in thousands)
Year