978-0134730417 Chapter 7 Part 3

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subject Pages 9
subject Words 2802
subject Authors Raymond Brooks

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220 Brooks Financial Management: Core Concepts, 4e
20. Dividend growth rate: Using Yahoo! Finance, update the dividends of Intel for only the last
six years. Find the arithmetic growth rate and the geometric growth rate of the dividends.
(Note: we used 200510 for this solution)
ANSWER
Year
Dividend
Change (percent)
2010
$0.632
$0.632 $0.56 = $0.072 ($0.072/$0.56 = 12.86%)
2009
$0.56
$0.56 $0.546 = $0.014 ($0.014/$0.546 = 2.56%)
2008
$0.546
$0.546 $0.452 = $0.094 ($0.094/$0.452 = 20.80%)
2007
$0.452
$0.452 $0.40 = $0.052 ($0.052 / $0.40 = 13.00%)
2006
$0.40
$0.40 $0.32 = $0.08 ($0.08 / $0.32 = 25.00%)
2005
$0.32
21. Rate of return. Using the answer to Problem 17 on Coca-Cola’s growth rates and the current
trading price, determine the current required rate of return for the company.
$65.22

22. Rate of return. Using the answer to Problem 18 on the Johnson & Johnson growth rates and
the current trading price, determine the current required rate of return for the company.
ANSWER
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Chapter 7 Stocks and Stock Valuation 221
© 2018 Pearson Education, Inc.
Johnson and Johnson’s
( )
$2.11 1 0.13.04 0.1304
$62.82
r+

=+


= 0.1684 or 16.84%
23. Rate of return. Using the answer to Problem 19 on the Walmart growth rates and the
current trading price, determine the current required rate of return for the company.
ANSWER
$54.56

24. Rate of return. Using the answer to Problem 20 on Intel’s growth rates and the current
trading price, determine the current required rate of return for the company.
ANSWER
25. Stock price. Given the growth rates for Coca-Cola, Johnson & Johnson, Walmart, and Intel
from the dividend history in Problems 21 through 24, what price would you predict for each
stock if they all had a required return of 18%? Why are Walmart and Intel prices
troublesome?
ANSWER
( )
$1.76 1 0.1044 $25.71

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222 Brooks Financial Management: Core Concepts, 4e
© 2018 Pearson Education, Inc.
Intel,
( )
$0.632 1 0.1458 $21.18
0.18 0.1458
P+

==


Walmart’s predicted price is unrealistically high since the required rate is so close to the growth
rate. Intel’s price on the other hand seems okay.
26. Rate of return. Assume that Exxon-Mobil’s price dropped to $30 overnight. Given the
dividend growth rate of Exxon-Mobil of 5.07% and the last annual dividend of $1.28, what is
the implied required rate of return necessary to justify the new lower market price of
$30.00?
27. Stock price. Peterson Packaging Incorporated does not currently pay dividends. The
company will start with a $0.50 dividend at the end of year three and grow it by 10% for
each of the next six years until it nearly reaches $1.00. After six years of growth, it will fix its
dividend at $1.00 forever. If you want a 15% return on this stock, what should you pay
today, given this future dividend stream?
ANSWER
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Chapter 7 Stocks and Stock Valuation 223
© 2018 Pearson Education, Inc.
( )
3
2
1
Price 1 1
n
g
Div
r g r

+

=  −



−+


( )
7
2
$0.50 1 0.10
Price 1
0.15 0.10 1 0.15

+

=  −



−+


Price2 = $10.00 × (0.2674) = $2.674
The price at the end of period 2 is a future value. Now we must discount this future value at 15%
for its present value:
( )
1n
FV
PV
r
=+
Price0 =
( )
2
$2.674 $2.674 $2.02
1.3225
1 0.15
PV = = =
+
The final dividend pattern is a perpetuity and we can use equation 7.1 here:
10
9
Price Dividend
r
=
9
$1.00
Price $6.67
0.15
==
And again, we must discount this future value at 15% for its present value:
( )
09
$6.67
Price $1.90
1 0.15
==
+
Finally, adding the three pieces we get:
Price of Stock = $0.00 + $2.02 + $1.90 = $3.92
Although we now have a way of pricing stocks through discounting dividends, we must realize
that dividends are not a promised future cash flow. In fact, firms can increase, reduce, or even
suspend cash dividends. And even though past dividends may be a good predictor of future
dividends, the timing and amount of dividends can and do vary across time for a company. The
dividend models are really expected dividend models, and if we were to write these models
correctly we would use an expectations operator with the dividends, E(Div0) and E(Div1) instead
of Div0 and Div1.
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224 Brooks Financial Management: Core Concepts, 4e
Solutions to Advanced Problems for Spreadsheet Applications
1. Dividend history and dividend growth rates
Date Dividend Quarterly Change Annual Dividend Annual Change
2/7/1990 $0.17500
5/1/1990 $0.17500 0.00%
7/31/1990 $0.19375 10.71%
11/6/1990 $0.19375 0.00% $0.73750
2/5/1991 $0.19375 0.00%
4/30/1991 $0.20625 6.45%
8/6/1991 $0.20625 0.00%
11/5/1991 $0.20625 0.00% $0.81250 10.17%
2/4/1992 $0.20625 0.00%
5/5/1992 $0.20625 0.00%
8/4/1992 $0.20625 0.00%
11/3/1992 $0.20625 0.00% $0.82500 1.54%
5/15/2008 $0.65000 12.07%
8/15/2008 $0.65000 0.00%
11/14/2008 $0.65000 0.00% $2.53000 11.95%
2/12/2009 $0.65000 0.00%
5/15/2009 $0.65000 0.00%
8/17/2009 $0.68000 4.62%
11/16/2009 $0.68000 0.00% $2.66000 5.14%
Quarterly AVERAGE CHANGE 1.80% 7.07%
Quarterly Geometric Change 1.73% 6.98%
Simple Average Qtr to Yr 7.19%
Simple Geo QTR to YR 6.93%
Compounding Average QTR to YR 7.39%
Compounding Geo QTR to YR 7.11%
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Chapter 7 Stocks and Stock Valuation 225
2. Changing stock price year by year.
Year Required Return Most recent Dividend Dividend Growth Rate Stock Price
1 11.20% 2.80$ 4.00% 40.44$
2 12.15% 2.80$ 4.00% 37.16$
3 10.98% 2.80$ 4.00% 45.12$
4 11.45% 2.80$ 4.00% 43.97$
5 12.06% 2.80$ 4.00% 42.27$
6 12.98% 2.80$ 4.00% 39.45$
7 11.55% 2.80$ 4.00% 48.80$
8 10.83% 2.80$ 4.00% 56.11$
9 10.22% 2.80$ 4.00% 64.07$
10 11.73% 2.80$ 4.00% 53.62$
11 11.98% 2.80$ 4.00% 54.02$
12 11.42% 2.80$ 4.00% 60.42$
13 10.96% 2.80$ 4.00% 66.99$
14 12.15% 2.80$ 4.00% 59.49$
15 11.55% 2.80$ 4.00% 66.79$
Stock Prices
$-
$20.00
$40.00
$60.00
$80.00
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
Stock Prices
Stock Prices
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226 Brooks Financial Management: Core Concepts, 4e
Solutions to Mini-Case
Lawrence’s Legacy: Part 1
This case requires students to think in a critical and applied way about the nature of common
stock investments, primary and secondary markets, the implications of EMH, stock valuation
models, and the limitations of stock valuation models.
1. Why do you think Lawrence specified to invest money in stocks rather than bonds or
certificates of deposit?
This question can be the stimulus for a broad ranging discussion of the nature of common
stock.
Lawrence wants the memorial trust fund to provide meaningful grants in perpetuity.
2. How will the trust obtain the cash to make the grants if the dividends do not amount to
5% of the portfolio’s value?
Unless stocks are specifically purchased for high dividend yields rather than growth, it is
3. What is the difference between common stock and preferred stock?
Preferred stock usually pays a fixed dividend. As a result, the price moves more closely with
4. How do we know if we are paying a fair price for the stock that we purchase?
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Chapter 7 Stocks and Stock Valuation 227
© 2018 Pearson Education, Inc.
every day. The price we pay will be very close to the price paid by the buyer just before or
after us. Many stock purchases and sales take place between large institutional investors
managed by people with advanced degrees in finance or economics, and whose only job is
to know everything there is to know about the companies they invest in. If these investors
agree to pay a particular price, and equally sophisticated investors agree to sell at the same
price, then the price must reflect all the information it is legally possible to have. These
conditions describe what is known as the semi-strong form of the efficient market
hypothesis, which implies that no investor has an unfair advantage over any other investor.
5. For what are we actually paying when we buy a share of stock?
Kraska intends to use the following examples to answer this question.
a. ABC Inc. preferred stock pays a constant dividend of $5.00 per year. Assume that
investors require a 9% rate of return.
b. DEF, Inc. common stock that recently paid s a dividend of $1.50. The estimated growth
rate of dividends is 6% per year and the required rate of return is 11%.
c. GBH, Inc. pays no dividend and reinvests all of its earnings into rapid growth, but it is
expected to begin paying dividends in five years. The first dividend will be $5.00;
dividends will grow at 5% per year; the required rate of return throughout the period
is 15%.
To the extent that our assumptions are correct, in four years the next dividend will be
6. Why do stock prices change so quickly and by so much?
Notice that the formulas we used depend on forecasts of variables that in themselves
depend on many other forecasts, most of which are very difficult to predict. Future
dividends depend on future earnings, which depend on future costs, future sales volume,
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228 Brooks Financial Management: Core Concepts, 4e
© 2018 Pearson Education, Inc.
and future prices. Future sales depend on competition, changes in technology, geopolitical
events, and so on. The discount rate or required rate of return depends on future inflation,
interest rates, and perceptions of how risky the company is. These estimates all change with
every piece of news, and frankly sometimes with the mood of investors. Realistically, the
market is always looking for the correct price of a stock and never quite finding it, but the
large volume of sales, rapid flow of information, insider trading laws, and the self-interest of
investors assure that we are all trading on the same information. Paradoxically, this is true
whether or not we even have the information because the price is presumably determined
by those who do have it. This is another illustration of the efficient market hypothesis.
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Chapter 7 Stocks and Stock Valuation 229
Additional Problems with Solutions
1. Pricing constant growth stock, with finite horizon. The Crescent Corporation just paid a
dividend of $2.00 per share and is expected to continue paying the same amount each year
for the next four years. If you have a required rate of return of 13%, plan to hold the stock
for four years, and are confident that it will sell for $30 at the end of four years, how much
should you offer to buy it at today?
ANSWER (Slides 7-49 to 7-50)
2. Constant growth rate, infinite horizon (with growth rate estimated from past history.
Using the historical dividend information provided below to calculate the constant growth
rate, and a required rate of return of 18%, estimate the price of Nigel Enterprises’ common
stock.
Nigel Enterprises’ Annual Dividends
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
$0.35
$0.45
$0.51
$0.65
$0.75
$0.88
$0.99
$1.10
$1.13
$1.30
ANSWER (Slides 7-51 to 7-53)
First, estimate the historical average growth rate of dividends by using the following equation:
1
n
FV

0.35


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© 2018 Pearson Education, Inc.
3. Pricing common stock with multiple dividend patterns. The Wonder Products Company is
expanding fast and therefore will not pay any dividends for the next three years. After that,
starting at the end of Year 4, it will pay a dividend of $0.75 per share to its common
shareholders and increase it by 12% each year until it pays $1.50 at the end of Year 10. After
that it will pay $1.50 per year forever. If an investor wants to earn 15% per year on this
investment, how much should he pay for the stock?
ANSWER (Slides 7-54 to 7-56)
First lay out the dividends on a time line.
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