21-1
1. Modernizing alternative:
Present Value
Discount Factors Net Cash Present
Year At 10% Flow Value
Jan. 1, 2015 1.000 $(36,800000) $(36,800,000)
Dec. 31, 2015 0.909 10,432,500 9,483,143
Dec. 31, 2016 0.826 11,700000 9,664,200
Dec. 31, 2017 0.751 12,967,500 9,738,593
Dec. 31, 2018 0.683 14,235,000 9,722,505
Dec. 31, 2019 0.621 15,502,500 9,627,053
Dec. 31, 2020 0.564 16,770000 9,458,280
Dec. 31, 2021 0.513 25,037,500 12,844,238
Total $33,738,010
Replace Alternative:
Present Value
Discount Factors Net Cash Present
Year At 10% Flow Value
Jan. 1, 2015 1.000 $(57,400000) $(57,400,000)
Dec. 31, 2015 0.909 15,515000 14,103,135
Dec. 31, 2016 0.826 17,400000 14,372,400
Dec. 31, 2017 0.751 19,285000 14,483,035
Dec. 31, 2018 0.683 21,170000 14,459,110
Dec. 31, 2019 0.621 23,055000 14,317,155
Dec. 31, 2020 0.564 24,940000 14,066,160
Dec. 31, 2021 0.513 43,825,000 22,482,225
Total $50,883,220
4. Using the payback period, the modernize alternative is preferred to the replace alternative.
On the other hand, the replace alternative has a significantly higher NPV than the modernize
alternative and so should be preferred. Of course, the NPV amounts are based on best estimates of
cash flows going out into the future. Clean Chips should examine the sensitivity of the NPV
amounts to variations in the estimates.
Nonfinancial qualitative factors should be considered. These could include the quality of
the prototypes produced by the modernize and replace alternatives. These alternatives may differ
in capacity and their ability to meet surges in demand beyond the estimated amounts. The
alternatives may also differ in how workers increase their shop floor-capabilities. Such differences
could provide labor force externalities that can be the source of future benefits to Clean Chips.