Chapter 14 – Cost of Capital
Lecture Tip: It is noted in the text that there are other ways to
compute g. Rather than use the arithmetic mean, as in the
example, the geometric mean (which implies a compound growth
rate) can be used. OLS regression with the log of the dividends as
the dependent variable and time as the independent variable is
also an option. Another way to estimate g is to assume that the
ROE and retention rate are constant. If this is the case, then g =
ROE*retention rate.
Lecture Tip: Some students may question how you value the stock
for a firm that doesn’t pay dividends. In the case of growth-
oriented, non-dividend-paying firms, analysts often look at the
trend in earnings or use similar firms to project the future date of
the first expected dividend and its future growth rate. However,
such processes are subject to greater estimation error, and when
companies fail to meet (or even exceed) estimates, the stock price
can experience a high degree of variability. It should also be
pointed out that no firm pays zero dividends forever – at some
point, every going concern will pay dividends. Microsoft is a good
example. Many people believed that Microsoft would never pay
dividends, but even it ran out of investments for all of the cash that
it generated and began paying dividends in 2003.
Lecture Tip: Here’s a good real-world exercise to illustrate real-
world growth rates. You can assign this as homework, or do it in
class if your classroom has Internet access. Go to
screen.yahoo.com/stocks.html and find the “Analysts Estimates
Est. 5 Yr EPS growth” box, and use up more than 30%. In
February 2012, Yahoo! found 639 stocks that met this criteria.
B. The SML Approach
CAPM, RE = Rf + E(E(RM) – Rf)
Implementing the Approach
Betas are widely available, and T–bill rates or the rate on long-
term Treasury securities are often used for Rf. The expected
market risk premium is the more difficult number to come up
with – make sure that the market risk premium used is
consistent with the risk-free rate chosen. One of the problems
is that we really do need an expectation, but we only have past
information and market risk premiums vary through time.
Early in 2000, Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan
indicated that part of his concern with the state of the U.S.
stock markets at that time was the reduction in the market risk
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