Chapter 17 – Financial Economics
In general, we can use the following formula.
Present Value = X/(1+i)t where i is the interest rate, t is the number of years of in the
future , and X is the desired future value.
3. Suppose that a risk-free investment will make three future payments of $100 in one year, $100
in two years, and $100 in three years. If the Federal Reserve has set the risk-free interest rate at 8
percent, what is the proper current price of this investment? What is the price of this investment if
the Federal Reserve raises the risk-free interest rate to 10 percent? LO2
Feedback:
Here we need to use the concept of present value.
How much is $100 one year from now worth today at an interest rate of 8%.
How much is $100 two years from now worth today at an interest rate of 8%.
How much is $100 three years from now worth today at an interest rate of 8%.
Since we receive all of the payments above, the present value of this payment stream
equals;
If the interest rate were 10% we use the same procedure.
4. Consider an asset that costs $120 today. You are going to hold it for 1 year and then sell it.
Suppose that there is a 25 percent chance that it will be worth $100 in a year, a 25 percent chance
that it will be worth $115 in a year, and a 50 percent chance that it will be worth $140 in a year.
What is its average expected rate of return? Next, figure out what the investment’s average
expected rate of return would be if its current price were $130 today. Does the increase in the
current price increase or decrease the asset’s average expected rate of return? At what price would
the asset have a zero average expected rate of return? LO4
Feedback:
The first exercise is to calculate the expected payoff for this asset. To do this, multiply the
probability (decimal representation of percentage) for each payoff (state) by the actual
payoff.
For the value above.
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