TABLE 16-12
A local store developed a multiplicative time-series model to forecast its revenues in
future quarters, using quarterly data on its revenues during the 5-year period from 2008
to 2012. The following is the resulting regression equation:
log10 = 6.102 + 0.012 X – 0.129 1 – 0.054 2 + 0.098 3
where is the estimated number of contracts in a quarter
X is the coded quarterly value with X = 0 in the first quarter of 2008
1 is a dummy variable equal to 1 in the first quarter of a year and 0 otherwise
2 is a dummy variable equal to 1 in the second quarter of a year and 0 otherwise
is a dummy variable equal to 1 in the third quarter of a year and 0 otherwise
Referring to Table 16-12, the best interpretation of the constant 6.102 in the regression
equation is
A) the fitted value for the first quarter of 2008, prior to seasonal adjustment, is
log10(6.102).
B) the fitted value for the first quarter of 2008, after to seasonal adjustment, is
log10(6.102).
C) the fitted value for the first quarter of 2008, prior to seasonal adjustment, is 106.102.
D) the fitted value for the first quarter of 2008, after to seasonal adjustment, is 106.102.
If the correlation coefficient (r) = 1.00, then
A) all the data points must fall exactly on a straight line with a slope that equals 1.00.
B) all the data points must fall exactly on a straight line with a negative slope.
C) all the data points must fall exactly on a straight line with a positive slope.
D) all the data points must fall exactly on a horizontal straight line with a zero slope.