TABLE 16-12
A local store developed a multiplicative time-series model to forecast its revenues in
future quarters, using quarterly data on its revenues during the 5-year period from 2008
to 2012. The following is the resulting regression equation:
log10 = 6.102 + 0.012 X – 0.129 1 – 0.054 2 + 0.098 3
where is the estimated number of contracts in a quarter
X is the coded quarterly value with X = 0 in the first quarter of 2008
1 is a dummy variable equal to 1 in the first quarter of a year and 0 otherwise
2 is a dummy variable equal to 1 in the second quarter of a year and 0 otherwise
is a dummy variable equal to 1 in the third quarter of a year and 0 otherwise
Referring to Table 16-12, the best interpretation of the coefficient of Q3 (0.098) in the
regression equation is
A) the revenues in the third quarter of a year is approximately 9.8% higher than the
average over all 4 quarters.
B) the revenues in the third quarter of a year is approximately 9.8% higher than it
would be during the fourth quarter.
C) the revenues in the third quarter of a year is approximately 25.31% higher than the
average over all 4 quarters.
D) the revenues in the third quarter of a year is approximately 25.31% higher than it
would be during the fourth quarter.
TABLE 16-12
A local store developed a multiplicative time-series model to forecast its revenues in
future quarters, using quarterly data on its revenues during the 5-year period from 2008
to 2012. The following is the resulting regression equation:
log10 = 6.102 + 0.012 X – 0.129 1 – 0.054 2 + 0.098 3
where is the estimated number of contracts in a quarter
X is the coded quarterly value with X = 0 in the first quarter of 2008