116. Whittenberg Distributors, a major retailing and mail-order operation, has been in
business for the past 10 years. During that time, its mail-order operations have grown from a
sideline to represent more than 80 percent of the company’s annual sales. Of course, the
company has suffered growing pains. At times, overloaded or faulty computer programs resulted
in lost sales. And scheduling temporary workers to augment the permanent staff during peak
periods has always been a problem.
Peter Bloom, manager of mail-order operations, has developed procedures for handling most
problems. However, he is still trying to improve the scheduling of temporary workers to take
customer telephone orders. Under the current system, Peter keeps a permanent staff of 60
employees who handle the base telephone workload and supplements this staff with temporary
workers as needed. The temporary workers are hired on a daily basis; he determines the number
needed for the next day the afternoon before based on his estimate of the upcoming telephone
volume.
Peter has decided to try regression analysis to improve the hiring of temporary workers. By
summarizing the daily labor-hours into weekly totals for the past year, he determined the number
of workers used each week. In addition, he listed the number of orders processed each week.
After entering the data into a spreadsheet, Peter ran two regressions. Regression 1 related the
total number of workers (permanent staff plus temporary workers) to the number of orders
received. Regression 2 related only temporary workers to the number of orders received. The
output of these analyses follows:
Regression model: W =
a
+
b
×
T
where:
W
= workers;
T
= telephone orders
Regression 1 Regression 2
a
21.938 -46.569
b
.0043 .0051
Standard error of the estimate 3.721 1.495
t
-value 1.95 2.04
Coefficient of determination .624 .755
Durbin Watson statistic 1.33 1.67