It is widely believed that chocolate causes acne, since people susceptible to acne
frequently assert that eating chocolate is invariably followed by an outbreak of the skin
condition. However, Donald G. Bruns, in a letter to
Science News
, wondered whether
those who have the belief that chocolate causes acne might not have things backwards.
Some studies indicate that hormonal changes associated with stress may cause acne, he
notes. Other studies indicate that people fond of chocolate may tend to eat more
chocolate when under stress. Given these studies, Bruns comments, it may be easy to
confuse which, the chocolate or the acne, is the cause—and which is the effect.
In a brief essay, explain what pattern of reasoning seems to underlie the belief that
chocolate causes acne
(probably the paired unusual events principle—the relevant
difference between this situation, where there were an outbreak of acne, and situations in
which there was none is that in this situation the person ate chocolate)
, and then answer
this question: Bruns complains that those who believe that chocolate causes acne may be
guilty of the fallacy of reversed causation. Given the studies he cites, has Bruns correctly
identified the mistake?
No. The mistake is ignoring an underlying third cause.
Identify the type of fallacy in the following passage.
“This antique dealer should know what’s wrong with this old car of ours.”
Mistaken appeal to authority.