If the innovation is protected by secrecy, it leaks out with probability
1s, regardless of the number of successful firms. When this happens,
the innovation is publicly available and production is at the competitive
level, driving the innovator’s profits down to zero.
Patent protection is measured by the probability that a patent holder
can exclude competitors from using the innovation, which is denoted p.
Hence, with probality 1p, the innovation becomes public, resulting
again in zero profits for the innovator.
If only one firm succeeds in R&D and the innovation does not become public,
the firm earns monopoly profit m. If both firms succeed and their innovation
does not become public, each firm earns duopoly profit d< m. In the case
where both firms are successful and file for the patent, each firm obtains it with
probability 1=2.
The two firms have to decide whether to file for a patent (strategy noted P)
or resort to secrecy (strategy noted S). This decision has to be made before
learning whether the competitor has succeeded or not.
1. Using the above information, compute the firms’ expected profits for the
four combinations of strategies. Denote (a1; a2)the expected profit for
a firm when it chooses strategy a1and its opponent chooses strategy a2,
with a1and a22 fP; Sg. You are thus asked to compute (P; P ), (P; S),
(S; P ), and (S; S).
2. Suppose that p=s. That is, the innovation has the same probability
of becoming public whether it is protected by secrecy or by a patent (in
other words, patent and secrecy offer the same level of protection).
(a) Show that patenting is a dominant strategy. That is, show that both
(P; P ) (S; P )and (P; S) (S; S)are true.
(b) Show also that successful firms prefer the situation where they both
file for a patent over the situation where they both keep the innova-
tion secret. That is, show that (P; P ) (S; S)is true.
3. Suppose now that p6=s. To ease the computations, set m= 16,
d= 4, and = 1=2.
(a) Compute the values of (P; P ), (P; S), (S; P ), and (S; S)un-
der these assumptions.
(b) Characterize the Nash equilibrium (in pure strategies) of the game
for all p,s2[0;1]. Represent graphically the characterization of
the equilibrium in the plane (p; s).
(c) Show that both firms may choose to protect the innovation via a
patent even though patents offer a weaker protection than secrecy.
Explain the economic intuition behind this result.
9