ii. Quantitative forecasting—techniques that rely on statistical
computations (such as trend extensions based on past data,
2. Qualitative forecasting techniques
a. Planners use qualitative forecasting techniques when they want judgmental
or subjective indicators
b. They include jury of executive opinion, Delphi technique, sales force
composite, and survey of buyer intentions
c. Jury of executive opinion
i. The jury of executive opinion technique combines and averages
the outlooks of top executives from areas such as marketing,
finance, and production
ii. It is a quick and inexpensive method that often generates good
forecasts for sales and new-product development
iii. It works best for short-term forecasting
d. Delphi technique
i. The Delphi technique solicits opinions from several people, but
also gathers thoughts from experts outside the firm, such as
academic researchers
ii. It is most appropriately used to predict long-run issues, such as
technological breakthroughs, that could affect future sales and
e. Sales force composite
i. The sales force composite technique develops forecasts based
on the belief that organization members closest to the
marketplace offer the best insights concerning short-term future
sales
ii. These forecasts typically work from the bottom up
iii. Drawbacks: Forecasts are conservative because their numbers
ultimately determine sales quotas; they are based on a narrow
perspective or geographic territory
iv. This method works well only in combination with other
techniques
f. Survey of buyer intentions
i. A survey of buyer intentions gathers input through mail-in
questionnaires, online feedback, telephone polls, and personal