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5. The U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) use a measure called
body mass index (BMI) to determine whether a person is obese. A BMI between 25.0
and 29.9 is considered overweight, and a BMI of 30.0 or more is considered obese.
The following table shows the percent of United States adults 18 years and older who
were obese in the years indicated, judging on the basis of BMI. (Source: CDC,
October 13, 2017)
Year Percent Obese
2012 27.7
2014 28.9
2015 28.9
Using 0 for 2011, find the least squares line and use it to predict the percent of adults
18 years and older that will be obese in the year 2020.
x y xy 2
1 27.7 27.7 1
3 28.9 86.7 9
The normal equations would be 30 10 286.6
ab
+=
The solutions for a and b are
2
11
5(30) (10)
nnn
kk k k
nn
kk
kk
nxy x y
nx x
==
⎛⎞⎛⎞⎛⎞
−
∑∑∑
⎜⎟⎜⎟⎜⎟ −
−
⎛⎞⎛⎞
−
∑∑
⎜⎟⎜⎟
nn
⎛⎞