• Payback Method: time required to pay back the initial investment.
Real Options Pricing Models
The system investment that looks good to one company may be all wrong for another
company based strictly on the numbers. That’s because no two companies are exactly the
same. And the uncertainty of most IT projects makes it even more difficult to evaluate a
project based solely on numbers. Real options pricing models offers strategic planners
the ability to bring other factors into the evaluation and place a value on them. It uses
these factors:
• Value of the underlying IT asset.
Limitations of Financial Models
Keep in mind that there are limitations to each financial model used to evaluate new
systems. Using the online banking example, you can assume the initial cost will not be
recouped until months or years after implementation. As we’ve seen in the last few years,
underestimated or even totally overlooked.
Bottom Line: Potential new systems should be evaluated in terms of tangible and
intangible costs. All costs—hardware, software, and personnel—should be included
in the bottom line so that the organization can truly determine the gains, or losses,
associated with new projects.
14.4 Managing Project Risk