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realize depends on the speed at which prepayments are made. The faster the prepayments, the
higher the yield the investor will realize. For example, suppose that there is a pass-through
backed by 30-year mortgages with $400 million in par value and that investors can purchase POs
backed by this pass-through for $175 million. The dollar return on this investment will be $225
million. How quickly that dollar return is recovered by PO investors determines the yield that
will be realized. In the extreme case, if all the homeowners in the underlying mortgage pool
decide to prepay their mortgage loans immediately, PO investors will realize the $225 million
immediately. At the other extreme, if all homeowners decide to keep their houses for 30 years
and make no prepayments, the $225 million will be spread out over 30 years, which will result in
a lower yield for PO investors.
The price of the PO can be expected to change as mortgage rates in the market change. When
mortgage rates decline below the coupon rate, prepayments are expected to speed up,
accelerating payments to the PO holder. Thus the cash flow of a PO improves (in the sense that
(b) How is the price of an interest-only security expected to change when interest rates
change?
The price of an interest-only security (IO) can move in various directions depending on the
direction of the change in interest rates and also the change relative to the coupon rate. Details on
the precise expectations of IO price changes are supplied below.
If mortgage rates decline below the coupon rate, prepayments on the interest-only security (IO)
are expected to accelerate. This results in a deterioration of the expected cash flow for an IO.