5. One of your colleagues at Deutsche Bank thinks that the dollar is severely undervalued
relative to the yen. He has calculated that the PPP exchange rate is ¥140/$, whereas the
current exchange rate is ¥105/$. Because interest rates are 3% p.a. lower in Japan than
in the United States, he thinks that this is a good time to speculate by borrowing yen and
lending dollars. What do you think?
Answer: Deviations from PPP are a weak reason to engage in speculation. While the data in
the problem indicate that the dollar is 33.33% undervalued, because that is the amount of dollar
appreciation that would be required to take the actual exchange rate from ¥105/$ to the PPP
prediction of ¥140/$, we know that the return to PPP will not be an overnight event.
6. Suppose that you are trying to decide between two job offers. One consulting firm offers
you $150,000 per year to work out of its New York office. A second consulting firm wants
you to work out of its London office and offers you £100,000 per year. The current
exchange rate is $1.65/£. Which offer should you take, and why? Assume that the PPP
exchange rate is $1.40/£ and that you are indifferent between working in the two cities if
the purchasing power of your salary is the same.