13. Assess the possibility for the euro to become another global currency rivaling the U.S.
dollar. If the euro really becomes a global currency, what impact will it have on the U.S. dollar
and the world economy?
Answer: In light of the large transactions domain of the euro, which is comparable to that of the
U.S. dollar, and the mandate for the European Central Bank (ECB) to guarantee the monetary
MINI CASE: Grexit or Not?
When the euro was introduced in 1999, Greece was conspicuously absent from the list of
the European Union member countries adopting the common currency. The country
was not ready. In a few short years, however, European leaders, probably motivated by
their political agenda, allowed Greece to join the euro club in 2001 although it was not
entirely clear if the country satisfied the entry conditions. In any case, joining the euro
club allowed the Greek government, households, and firms to gain easy access to
plentiful funds at historically low interest rates, ushering in a period of robust credit
growth. For a while, Greeks enjoyed what seemed to be the fruits of becoming a full–
fledged member of Europe. In December 2009, however, the new Greek government
revealed that the government budget deficit would be 12.7% for 2009, not 3.7% as
previously announced by the outgoing government, far exceeding the EU’s convergence
guideline of keeping the budget deficit below 3.0% of the GDP. As the true picture of the
government finance became known, the prices of Greek government bonds began to fall
sharply, prompting panic selling among international investors, threatening the
sovereign defaults.
Several years into the crisis, the Greek government debt stands at around 180% of GDP
and the jobless rate among youth is above 50%. The country’s GDP declined by about