based on unrealistic demand projects. When the anticipated demand failed to materialize,
the companies were left with excess capacity and falling prices making it difficult for
them to meet their debt obligations. Many were forced into bankruptcy, while others
were taken over by the state.
3. Why was the Korean central bank unable to stop the decline in the value of the won?
Answer: The central bank began to implement policies designed to prop up the ailing
won in mid-1997. Many troubled companies were filing for bankruptcy pushing the
value of the currency down. The central bank, hoping to restore investor confidence,
used its dollar reserves to buy up won. However, Standard & Poor’s downgrade of the
country’s sovereign debt caused the won to tumble even further as worried investors
pulled their funds out of the market. Despite pushing short-term interest rates to 12
percent, the carnage continued. Finally, after depleting nearly half of its dollar reserves,
the central bank was forced to admit defeat and accept help from the IMF.
4. In late 1997, the IMF stepped in with a rescue package that included $55 billion in
emergency loans to support the currency. These loans had the effect of stabilizing the
won and over the next few years South Korea enjoyed a strong recovery. If the IMF had
not stepped in, what might have occurred?
Answer: Many students will probably agree that without the assistance of the IMF the
situation in South Korea would have continued to deteriorate. When the central bank
gave up its fight to defend the won, the currency had already dropped to about half of its
previous value, resulting in foreign exchange losses of more than $15 billion for South
Korean companies. Instead, with the assistance of the IMF, the country was able to
stabilize its economy, and reassure investors.
Russian Ruble Crisis
1. What were the causes of the surge in inflation in Russia during the early 1990s? Could
this have been avoided? How?
Answer: Inflation in Russia surged in the 1990s following the removal of traditional
price controls. During the Communist regime, ongoing shortages of many goods in the
market led to currency hording. When price controls were lifted, but supplies of goods
were still limited, inflation soared as too much money chased too few goods. Adding to
the mess was the decision by the government to continue subsidizing many unprofitable
enterprises. Rather than fund this by raising taxes, the government simply printed more
money. Many students will probably suggest that the inflationary spike could have been
avoided by raising taxes, stopping subsidies to unprofitable enterprises, not increasing the
money supply, and trying to reduce the government budget deficit.