Reserve Problems Chapter 9 Section 1 Problem 11
A quality-control inspector is testing a batch of printed circuit boards to see wheather they are
capable of performing in a high temperature environment. He knows that the boards that will
survive will pass all five of the tests with probability 95%. They will pass at least four tests with
probability 99%, and they always pass at least three. On the other hand, the boards that will not
survive sometimes pass the tests as well. In fact, 5% pass all five tests, and another 20% pass
exactly four. The rest pass at most three tests. The inspector decides that if a board passes all five
tests, he will classify it as “good.” Otherwise, he’ll classify it as “bad.”
(a) What does a type I error mean in this context?
(b) What is the probability of a type I error?
(c) What does a type II error mean here?
SOLUTION
(a)
Reserve Problems Chapter 9 Section 1 Problem 12
A quality-control inspector is testing a batch of printed circuit boards to see wheater they are
capable of performing in a high temperature environment. He knows that the boards that will
survive will pass all five of the tests with probability 98%. They will pass at least four tests with
probability 99%, and they always pass at least three. On the other hand, the boards that will not
survive sometimes pass the tests as well. In fact, 3% pass all five tests, and another 20% pass
exactly four. The rest pass at most three tests. The inspector decides that if a board passes all five
tests, he will classify it as “good.” Otherwise, he’ll classify it as “bad.” The manager says that
the probability of a type I error must be no larger than 0.01.
(a) How does this change the rule deciding whether a board is “good”?
(b) How does this affect the type II error?
(c) Do you think this reduction in type I error is justified?
SOLUTION
(a)
Type I error can be improved if a board is only required to pass at least 4 of the 5 tests. With this