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Special Topic 8
The Economics of Health Care
OUTLINE
I. Structure of the Health Care Industry
A. Spending on health care has soared in recent decades.
1. Measured as a share of the economy, total health care spending has risen from 5.2
percent in 1960 to 9.2 percent in 1980, and 17.9 percent in 2011.
2. Expenditures on both Medicare and Medicaid have soared during the last three
decades.
B. Discrimination Against the Direct Purchase of Health Insurance
1. The tax system encourages employees to demand and employers to provide low–
deductible, small co-payment health insurance policies.
a. As a result of this distortion, more health care bills are paid for by third-party
II. Third-Party Payments and Health Care Inflation
A. Since the mid-1960s, the direct expenditures of health care consumers gradually
declined and those of third-party payees expanded.
1. The out-of-pocket spending of consumers accounted for only 14 percent of health
care spending in 2011, down from 55 percent in 1960.
B. The growth of subsidies to health care consumers and greater reliance on third-party
payments of recent decades
1. increased the demand for medical services and
III. The Growth of the Elderly Population and Health Care
A. In the next two decades, the elderly population will grow more rapidly than in recent
decades.
1. Under the current Medicare program, this will increase the demand for health care
services and the share of medical payments financed by a third party.
2. It can also be expected to result in higher health care prices and increased taxes for
the finance of Medicare.
IV. American Health Care at a Crossroads
A. Perverse Incentives and the Provision of Health Care
1. The structure of government programs relies on third-party payments that erode the