Chapter 17 – Financial Economics
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4. Consider an asset that costs $120 today. You are going to hold it for 1 year and then sell it.
Suppose that there is a 25 percent chance that it will be worth $100 in a year, a 25 percent chance
that it will be worth $115 in a year, and a 50 percent chance that it will be worth $140 in a year.
What is its average expected rate of return? Next, figure out what the investment’s average
expected rate of return would be if its current price were $130 today. Does the increase in the
current price increase or decrease the asset’s average expected rate of return? At what price
would the asset have a zero average expected rate of return? LO3
Feedback: Consider the following example. Consider an asset that costs $120 today.
You are going to hold it for 1 year and then sell it. Suppose that there is a 25 percent
chance that it will be worth $100 in a year, a 25 percent chance that it will be worth $115
in a year, and a 50 percent chance that it will be worth $140 in a year. What is its average
expected rate of return? Next, figure out what the investment’s average expected rate of
return would be if its current price were $130 today. Does the increase in the current
price increase or decrease the asset’s average expected rate of return? At what price
would the asset have a zero average expected rate of return?
The first exercise is to calculate the expected payoff for this asset. To do this, multiply
the probability (decimal representation of percentage) for each payoff (state) by the actual
payoff.
5. Suppose initially that two assets, A and B, will each make a single guaranteed payment of $100
in 1 year. But asset A has a current price of $80 while asset B has a current price of $90. LO3
a. What are the rates of return of assets A and B at their current prices? Given these rates of
return, which asset should investors buy and which asset should they sell?
b. Assume that arbitrage continues until A and B have the same expected rate of return. When
arbitrage ends, will A and B have the same price?
Next, consider another pair of assets, C and D. Asset C will make a single payment of $150 in
one year while D will make a single payment of $200 in one year. Assume that the current price
of C is $120 and that the current price of D is $180.