300 Chapter 15
b. But war-torn or developed countries are unable to raise
sufficient tax revenue to cover government spending and may
not be able to borrow from the public
6. With an independent central bank, how is seignorage revenue
determined?
a. The government and central bank may engage in a game of
‘chicken’
Policy Application
If the government runs persistent budget deficits, can monetary policymakers keep
inflation low? No, according to Thomas J. Sargent and Nell Wallace in their article
“Some Unpleasant Monetarist Arithmetic,” Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis
Quarterly Review, Fail 1981, pp. 1–17. Monetary policymakers lose control over inflation
if government debt grows faster than the economy does. for then some of the
government’s deficit must eventually be financed by seignorage.
B. Real seignorage collection and inflation
1. The real revenue the government gets from seignorage is closely
related to the inflation rate
2. Consider an all-currency economy with a fixed level of real output and
a fixed real interest rate, plus constant rates of money growth and
3. Seignorage is called the inflation tax, because the government’s
seignorage revenue equals the inflation rate times real money
4. Will a rise in money growth increase seignorage revenue?
a. As the money growth rate rises, inflation rises, but people may
hold less real balances