538 Miller Economics Today, Nineteenth Edition
Chapter 12 Consumption, Real GDP, and the Multiplier
The Financial Crisis of 2008 and the U.S. Saving Function
In the fall of 2008, the global financial crisis set off fears of a recession. As the financial markets and
stock prices collapsed, households, fearing a recession, began to save more. The Keynesian model
predicts that the result of households increasing saving to protect themselves from the expected recession
can actually cause a recession to occur.
Changes in Wealth and Consumption
In the third quarter of 2008, the financial markets collapsed along with the housing market where housing
prices began falling after 2008 and continued into 2011. Could this fact explain the slow recovery of
consumption spending?
Is the U.S. Rate of Investment Understated?
Investment is measured in the national income accounts as the sum of spending on physical capital
plants and equipment, infrastructure, and housing and adjustments to inventories of produced goods.
Using this definition, the portion of U.S. real GDP allocated to investment lags behind much of the rest
of the developed world. Some economists worry that the result is that total planned expenditures are
depressed along with equilibrium income. In addition, these economists are concerned that the lower rate
of investment reduces the rate of capital accumulation and reduces economic growth.