To paraphrase the American humourist Mark Twain, reports of the coal industry’s death have been greatly
exaggerated. The coal industry is clearly in decline but appears to be far from dead. Globally, coal is used
to fuel more than 40% of power generation. In addition, metallurgical coal is used to produce about 70% of
the world’s steel production (the remainder comes from recycled scrap). Despite concerns about pollution,
coal is abundant, making it affordable. It is also easy to transport, store, and use. Equally important is that it
is not subject to geopolitical tensions.
According to the 2015 global energy report by the International Energy Agency, the use of coal among
Western European countries and the U.S. and Canada, peaked about 2008 and has been flat to declining in
these countries since then. Even though the demand for coal is expected to increase at less than half of its
historical 2.4% compound annual average growth rate during the last 25 years, it is projected to still
account for more than 30% of global electricity output by 2040. Why? Because India and Asian Pacific
countries have hundreds of new coal fired electrical power generating plants under construction or on the
drawing boards to bring electricity to millions in these countries that do not currently have power. The
While U.S. coal demand is expected to grow modestly long-term, the industry has been particularly hard
hit in recent years. Nationwide, coal production at 895 million tons sank to the lowest levels in three
decades in 2015. The vast majority of that drop was in Appalachia, but production in the west was down as
well according to the U.S. Energy Information Agency. Many utilities have been switching from coal to
natural gas to generate electricity. Besides being cheaper, natural gas emits less greenhouse gas, a major
consideration as utilities look to comply with tough new government regulations. The Clean Power Plan,
which takes effect in 2022, requires states to cut carbon emissions by using less coal and more solar, wind
and gas power. Finally, prices of metallurgical coal remained depressed throughout 2016 amid the
slowdown in China’s economic growth. Despite these developments, the U.S. Environmental Protection
Agency predicts U.S. coal production will decline to 685 million tons in 2016 increasing to about 800
million tons in 2050, comprising about 30% of U.S. electricity output down from about 50% in 2008.
Among the options available to failing coal firms is to downsize by selling assets to raise cash and
reduce debt, reach an out of court settlement with creditors, seek to merge with a financially stronger firm,
or to reorganize under the protection of the U.S. bankruptcy court. Apparently, many coal firms have
chosen the latter option. The most notable coal mining firms that sought such protection in 2015 were
Alpha Natural Resources Inc., Patriot Coal Corp. and Walter Energy Inc. This has spurred asset sales and
consolidations as well as widespread employment and wage reductions at these firms and other coal
companies. States most directly impacted by these events include the five largest coal producing states in
2015 which include Wyoming, West Virginia, Kentucky, Illinois, and Pennsylvania.