│ REAL STATISTICS–REAL DECISIONS 537
2. If you played only the red ball, the probability of matching it is 1
39 . However, because you must
pick five white balls, you must get the white balls wrong. So, using the Multiplication Rule, you
get
3. The overall probability of winning a prize is determined by calculating the number of ways to win
and dividing by the total number of outcomes.
To calculate the number of ways to win something, you must use combinations.
CHAPTER 4
REAL STATISTICS–REAL DECISIONS
1. (a) Answers will vary. For instance, calculate the probability of obtaining 0 clinical pregnancies
out of 10 randomly selected ART cyclos.
(b) Binomial. The distribution is discrete because the number of clinical pregnancies is
countable.
2. n = 10, p = 0.349, P(0) = 0.014
x P(x)
0 0.01367
1 0.07329
2 0.17681
3 0.25277
3. (a) Suspicious, because the probability is very small.
(b) Not suspicious, because the probability is not that small.