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Broadband
Moderately attractive. Network construction costs are a barrier to entry although LLU allows
new entrants to avoid these costs up front. Competition may decrease with industry
2. What are the drivers of change and what do you expect their impact to be in the next few
years?
Regulation: The biggest impact is likely to continue to be in the mobile industry where earlier
cuts on termination charges (fees to connect mobile users to other lines) have significantly
reduced operator revenue. EU regulators are now targeting international roaming charges with
cuts planned for 2013 and beyond. Little further change unless EU forces the Premier League
(UK football) to broadcast over public channels or competition regulators restrict acquisitions.
Other factors might include:
a. Economic. Continuing reduction in operating costs and ongoing competitive pressure on
prices reducing the real costs for consumers.
3. In the next 35years it is likely that convergence will create two communications industries;
one will be mobile based on wireless networks or possibly WiMax or satellite. The other
industry will be fixed communication based on high-capacity fibre-optic networks. Mobile