b. When was the last time the Fed missed its target or was outside the target range? By how
much did it miss?
The last time the Fed missed its target was when it switched from a target of between
c. For each daily observation, calculate the “miss” by taking the absolute value of the
difference between the effective federal funds rate and the target (use the abs(.) function).
For the periods in which the rate was a range, calculate the absolute value of the “miss”
as the amount by which the effective federal funds rate was above or below the range.
What was the average daily miss between the beginning of 2006 and the end of 2007?
What was the average daily miss between the beginning of 2008 and December 15,
2008? What is the average daily miss for the period from December 16, 2008, to the most
current date available? Since 2006, what was the largest single daily miss? Comment on
the Fed’s ability to control the federal funds rate during these three periods.
From the beginning of 2006 to the end of 2007, the average daily miss was 0.05, or 5
basis points. From the beginning of 2008 to December 15, 2008, the average daily miss
and the most recent period, the Fed has demonstrated relatively good precision in
maintaining the federal funds rate close to target, but for somewhat different reasons. In
the 2006-2007 period, reserve demand was relatively stable, so it was relatively easier to
conduct defensive open market operations to keep the effective federal funds rate close to
target. In the most recent period, because a range is specified, it is somewhat easier to
keep the federal funds rate within target range. In addition, given the large size of the