Exercise 5-11
Requirement 1
Rocky’s normal guide revenue is 10 days × $1,000 per day = $10,000. Rocky
also estimates that there is a 30% chance it will earn the bonus, so its estimate of the
expected value of the bonus revenue earned to date is:
Possible Amounts Probabilities Expected Amounts
$1,000 ($100 bonus × 10 days) × 30% = $300
Requirement 2
During the July 16 – July 31 period, Rocky earns another 15 days × $1,000/day
= $15,000 of its normal guiding revenue. In addition, because Rocky now believes
there is an 80% chance it will earn the bonus, its estimate of the expected value of
the bonus revenue earned to date (based on all 25 days guided during July) is:
Possible Amounts Probabilities Expected Amounts