POINT/COUNTER-POINT:
Should an MNC Risk Overhedging?
POINT: Yes. MNCs have some “unanticipated” transactions that occur without any advance notice. They
should attempt to forecast the net cash flows in each currency due to unanticipated transactions based on
the previous net cash flows for that currency in a previous period. Even though it would be impossible to
forecast the volume of these unanticipated transactions per day, it may be possible to forecast the volume
on a monthly basis. For example, if an MNC has net cash flows between 3,000,000 and 4,000,000
Philippine pesos every month, it may presume that it will receive at least 3,000,000 pesos in each of the
next few months unless conditions change. Thus, it can hedge a position of 3,000,0000 in pesos by selling
that amount of pesos forward or buying put options on that amount of pesos. Any amount of net cash flows
beyond 3,000,000 pesos will not be hedged, but at least the MNC was able to hedge the minimum expected
net cash flows.
COUNTER-POINT: No. MNCs should not hedge unanticipated transactions. When they overhedge the
expected net cash flows in a foreign currency, they are still exposed to exchange rate risk. If they sell more
currency as a result of forward contracts than their net cash flows, they will be adversely affected by an
increase in the value of the currency. Their initial reasons for hedging were to protect against the weakness
of the currency, but the overhedging described here would cause a shift in their exposure. Overhedging does
not insulate an MNC against exchange rate risk. It just changes the means by which the MNC is exposed.
WHO IS CORRECT? Use the Internet to learn more about this issue. Offer your own opinion on this issue.
ANSWER: If the MNC is confident that it will receive net cash flows in a currency that will likely
depreciate, it should hedge at least the minimum amount of cash flows to be received. If it overhedges, and
the currency’s spot rate declines below the forward rate that was negotiated at the time of the hedge, the
MNC may even benefit from the overhedged position. The MNC should try to avoid overhedging the net
cash flows of a currency that it would expect to strengthen. It may be better off by hedging a smaller
amount or not hedging at all.
Answers to End of Chapter Questions
1. Hedging in General. Explain the relationship between this chapter on hedging and the
previous chapter on measuring exposure.
2. Money Market Hedge on Receivables. Assume that Stevens Point Co. has net receivables of 100,000
Singapore dollars in 90 days. The spot rate of the S$ is $.50, and the Singapore interest rate is 2%
over 90 days. Suggest how the U.S. firm could implement a money market hedge. Be precise.
3. Money Market Hedge on Payables. Assume that Hampshire Co. has net payables of 200,000
Mexican pesos in 180 days. The Mexican interest rate is 7% over 180 days, and the spot rate of the
Mexican peso is $.10. Suggest how the U.S. firm could implement a money market hedge. Be precise.
© 2018 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as
permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use.