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September 23, 2019
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1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
19
20
21
22
30
31
Call Prov
isions and S
inking Funds
32
33
34
A
nnual Pmt:
$100
Par v
alue = FV:
$1,00
0
menu items a
s shown in our snapshot in the sc
reen shown just below.
41
42
43
44
45
A
B
C
D
E
F
G
H
Situation
Finding the “Fair Va
lue” of a Bond
First, we list the ke
y fe
atures of the bond as “model inputs”:
Years
to Mat:
10
Coupon rate:
10%
Chapter 5. Mini Case
Sam Strother a
nd Shawna Tibbs are v
ice-preside
nts of Mutual of Seattle Insura
nce Company
and co-direc
t
ors
company
‘s pensi
on fund management div
ision. A
maj
or new client, the Northwestern Municipal A
llianc
e, h
a
requested that Mutual of S
eattle present a
n inves
tment seminar to the ma
yors
of the represente
d cities, an
d S
and Tibbs, who will make the ac
tual presentation, hav
e as
ked y
ou to help them by
answering the following
que
Because
the Boeing Company
operates i
n one of the league’s
cities, y
ou are
to w
ork Boeing into the pres
e
nt
pay
more and le
nders require more
on callable
bonds.
In a sink
ing fund provision, the
issuer pay
s off the l
oan over i
ts life rather than a
ll at the maturity
date.
A
si
reduces the
risk to the inv
estor and shortens
the maturity
. This is
not good for investors i
f rates fall a
fter i
s
51
52
53
54
55
56
57
58
59
60
76
77
78
84
85
86
87
88
92
93
94
95
96
98
A
B
C
D
E
F
G
H
(2.) W
hat w
ould happen to the v
alue of the 10
-yea
r bond over
time if the required ra
te of return remaine
d
a
$1,500
$2,000
$2,500
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
Interest
Rate Sensitiv
ity of a
10
-Year
Bond
Value at 7%
Value at 13%
99
100
101
102
103
104
4
$1,14
3
$1,000
$880
5
$1,12
3
$1,000
$894
6
$1,10
2
$1,000
$911
7
$1,07
9
$1,000
$929
8
$1,05
4
$1,000
$950
9
$1,02
8
$1,000
$973
111
112
113
114
115
117
$581
119
120
$640
122
123
124
125
126
128
$917
133
134
135
136
137
144
145
146
147
148
A
B
C
D
E
F
G
H
N
7%
10%
13%
0
$1,21
1
$1,000
$837
1
$1,19
5
$1,000
$846
2
$1,17
9
$1,000
$856
3
$1,16
2
$1,000
$867
10
$1,00
0
$1,000
$1
,000
You pick the
rate for
Your choice:
20%
Resulting bond p
ri
$597
$616
$667
$701
$741
$789
$847
Use the Rate function to s
olve the proble
m.
Years
to Mat:
10
Coupon rate:
9%
Value of Bond in Gi
ven Ye
ar:
If rates fall
, the bond goes to a pre
mium, but it move
s tow
ards par a
s maturity
approaches
. The rev
erse ho
ld i
rise and the
bond sells a
t a discount. If the going ra
te remains e
qual to the coupon rate, the
bond w
ill cont
at par. Note that the
above gra
ph assumes that i
nterest rates s
tay
constant after the initial
change. That is
unlikely
–interest ra
tes fluctuate, and s
o do the prices of outstanding bonds.
$200
$400
$600
$800
$1,000
$1,400
Price
Value of the bond
over time
Rates fall to 7%
Rates stay the same
Rates increase to 13%
Your choice
152
153
154
155
156
157
158
163
account for any
capital gains or l
osses that will be rea
lized if the bond is he
ld to maturity
or call.
164
165
166
167
170
171
172
174
175
176
177
178
179
180
181
Capital Gains
Yield =
0.76%
185
186
187
188
189
190
195
Periods to ma
turity = 1
0*2 =
20
Coupon rate:
10%
Use the Rate function with adjusted data
to solve the
problem.
196
197
198
199
200
201
202
203
A
B
C
D
E
F
G
H
Current and Capital Ga
ins Yields
Par v
alue
$1,00
0.00
Coupon rate:
9%
Current Yield
=
10.15
%
A
nnual Pmt:
$90.0
0
Current price:
$887.
00
YTM =
Current Yiel
d
+
Capital Gains
Yield
Capital Gains
Yield =
YTM
–
Current Yield
Capital Gains
Yield =
10.91
%
–
10.15
%
Bonds with Semiannual Coupons
Semiannual
pmt = $100/2
=
$50.0
0
PV =
$834.
72
Future Value:
$1,00
0.00
Periodic ra
te = 13%
/2 =
6.5%
Note that the bond is now more v
aluable, bec
ause interes
t pay
ments come in fa
ster.
Excel
Bond Functions
(2.) Wha
t are the total return, the
current y
ield, and the
capital gains
yie
ld for the discount bond? (A
ssum
e
is held to ma
turity a
nd the company
does not default on the bond.)
Since mos
t bonds pay
interest se
miannually
, w
e now
look at the v
aluation of se
miannual bonds. W
e must
modifications to our origina
l valua
tion model: (1) divide
the coupon pay
ment by
2, (2) multiply
the ye
ars to
m
2, and (3) div
ide the nominal
interest rate by
2.
semiannual
pay
ment, 10 perc
ent coupon bond if nominal r
d
= 13%
.
The current y
ield is the annual i
nterest pay
ment divided by
the bond’s curre
nt price. The c
urrent y
ield prov
information regarding the a
mount of cash income
that a bond will generate in a
given y
ear. However, it do
e
The current y
ield provides
information on a bond’s cas
h return, but it give
s no indication of the bond’s tota
see this,
consider a ze
ro coupon bond. Since
zeros pay
no coupon, the current y
ield is ze
ro because the
re
interest income
. However, the ze
ro appreciates
through time, and its total re
turn clearly
exceeds ze
ro.
205
206
207
208
209
210
211
212
213
214
215
216
221
222
223
224
225
226
227
228
229
Value of bond =
$83.6
307
or
$836.31
234
235
236
237
238
243
244
Going rate, r
13.00
%
Redemption (par v
alue)
100
Frequency
(f
or semiannua
l)
2
Basis (36
0 or 365 da
y
ye
ar)
0
A
ccrued intere
st =
$2.33
33
or
$23.3
3
245
246
247
248
249
250
251
Coupon rate
10.00
%
Redemption (par v
alue)
100
Frequency
(f
or semiannua
l)
2
256
A
B
C
D
E
F
G
H
Settlement (today
)
1/1/20
14
Maturity
12/31/
2023
Coupon rate
10.00
%
Going rate, r
13.00
%
Redemption (par v
alue)
100
Frequency
(f
or semiannua
l)
2
Basis (36
0 or 365 da
y
ye
ar)
0
Value of bond =
$83.4
737
or
$834.74
Settlement (today
)
3/25/20
14
Maturity
12/31/
2023
Coupon rate
10.00
%
Going rate, r
13.00
%
Redemption (par v
alue)
100
Frequency
(f
or semiannua
l)
2
Basis (36
0 or 365 da
y
ye
ar)
0
Issue da
te
1/1/20
14
First interest da
te
6/30/2
014
Settlement (today
)
3/25/20
14
Maturity
12/31/
2023
Coupon rate
10.00
%
Suppose the bond’s pri
ce is $1
,150. Y
ou can also c
alculate the
yie
ld using the YIELD function, a
s shown b
e
Curent price
1,150
.00
$
Settlement (today
)
1/1/20
14
Maturity
12/31/
2023
257
258
259
260
261
262
263
271
272
y
ears to maturity
is replaced with y
ears to c
all, and the ma
turity v
alue is
replaced with the cal
l price.
273
274
275
276
Call price
= FV
$1,05
0.00
Par v
alue
$1,00
0.00
279
280
281
282
283
284
285
286
287
k. Desc
ribe a way
to estimate the i
nflation premium (IP) for a T-Yea
r bond.
Ans
w
er: See Cha
pter 5 Mini Ca
293
294
295
296
297
298
304
305
306
307
A
B
C
D
E
F
G
H
Yield
7.
81%
Use the Rate function to s
olve the proble
m.
Number of semia
nnual periods to ca
ll:
10
Seminannual
coupon rate:
5%
Semiannual
Rate = I = YTC =
3.77%
Seminannual
Pmt:
$50.0
0
Annua
l nominal rate =
7.53
%
Current price:
$1,13
5.90
(1.) Wha
t is the bond’s nominal y
ield to call (YTC)?
(2.) If y
ou bought
this bond, do y
ou think y
ou w
ould be more likely
to earn the YTM or the YTC? W
hy?
l. What i
s a bond spread a
nd how
is it rel
ated to the default risk
premium? How are bond ratings rel
ated to
risk? Wha
t factors affect a c
ompany
’s bond rating?
A
nswer: See Chapter 5
Mini Case Show.
i. Write
a general e
xpression for the
yie
ld on any
debt securi
ty (rd) and de
fine these terms: re
al risk-free
ra
t
interest (r*), inflation pre
mium (IP), default risk
premium (DRP), liquidity
premium (LP), and maturity
risk pr
e
(MRP).
A
nswer: See Chapter 5 Mini Ca
se Show.
j. Define the
real risk
-free rate (r*). Wha
t security
can be us
ed as an e
stimate of r*? Wha
t is the nominal ris
k
(r
RF
)? What sec
urities can be
used as e
stimates of r
RF
?
A
nsw
er: See Cha
pter 5 Mini Case
Show
.
same ma
turity,
the one with the smaller coupon pay
ment w
ill hav
e more intere
st rate sens
itivity
.
m. What is
interest rate (or pri
ce) risk? W
hich bond has more
interest rate ri
sk, an annual
pay
ment 1-y
ear b
on
y
ear bond? Why
?
h. Suppose a
10-y
ear, 10
percent, se
miannual coupon bond with a par v
alue of $1,0
00 is c
urrently
selling fo
r
producing a nominal
yie
ld to maturity
of 8 percent. Howev
er, the bond can be
called after
5 y
ears for a
pric
e
308
309
310
311
312
313
314
315
316
317
318
319
320
321
322
326
327
328
329
330
331
332
333
337
A
s the interst ra
te goes from 5%
to 15%
, the price
changes are
bigger for the 10-y
ear bond.
338
339
340
341
342
343
344
n. What is
reinve
stment rate risk
? Which has
more reinv
estment rate ri
sk, a 1-y
ear bond or a 10-y
ear bond
?
350
351
352
353
354
A
B
C
D
E
F
G
H
Your Choice of Maturity
Years
to Mat:
10
Rate
Price
Rate
Pric
e
Rate
Coupon rate:
10%
$966.
65
$946.7
7
A
nnual Pmt:
$100.
00
5.0%
1,2
16.47
5.
0%
$1,386
.09
5.0%
Current price:
$946.
77
7.0%
1,1
23.01
7.
0%
$1,210
.71
7.0%
Par v
alue = FV:
$1,00
0.00
10.0
%
1,000.0
0
10.0%
$1
,000.00
10.0%
YTM =
10.9%
1
3.0%
894.
48
13.0%
$
837.21
13.0%
Years
to Mat:
1
Coupon rate:
10%
A
nnual Pmt:
$100.
00
Current price:
$991.
88
Par v
alue = FV:
$1,00
0.00
YTM =
10.9%
r
d
10-Yea
r P
Change
1-Year P
Change
5.0%
$1
,048
$1,3
86
4.8%
38.6%
10.0%
$
1,000
$1,
000
4.5%
33.5%
15.0%
$957
$749
p. What is
the term structure of intere
st rates? Wha
t is a y
ield curve?
1-Yr M
a
10-Yr Maturity
o. How are interest ra
te risk and re
inves
tment rate risk
related to the maturity
risk premium?
A
nswer: See
Mini Case S
how
.
$700.00
$800.00
$1,200.00
$1,300.00
$1,400.00
$1,500.00
5.0%
7.0%
10.0%
13.0%
15.0
YTM
10 Yr. v
ersus 1 Yr.
Y
360
361
362
363
364
365
366
367
368
A
B
C
D
E
F
G
H
Hy
pothetical Inputs
See to right for ac
tual date us
e
Real ris
k free rate
3.00%
Expected i
nflation of
5%
for the next
1
y
ears.
Expected i
nflation of
6%
for the next
1
y
ears.
Expected i
nflation of
8%
thereafter.
Hy
pothetical
T
re
asury
Y
ie
ld Curve
1
2
3
4
5
6
I
J
K
L
M
N
O
P
10/28
/2015
51
52
53
54
55
56
57
58
59
60
63
64
65
66
67
69
70
73
74
75
76
77
78
85
86
87
88
89
96
97
98
I
J
K
L
M
N
O
P
goi
ng rate is
t
e
d inflation
a
discount or
n
terest rates
.
ne
d at 13
t
i
on? You
r
ates in c
ells
t
ually
just
ra
nge of cel
ls
(
A
73:B78).
t
he menu.
olumn
i
nput cell”