15. a. If the project is a success, the present value of the future cash flows will be:
From the previous question, if the quantity sold is 3,900, we would abandon the project, and the
The NPV is the present value of the expected value in one year minus the cost of the
equipment, so:
b. If we couldn’t abandon the project, the present value of the future cash flows when the quantity
is 3,900 will be:
The gain from the option to abandon is the abandonment value minus the present value of the
cash flows if we cannot abandon the project, so:
We need to find the value of the option to abandon times the likelihood of abandonment. So, the
value of the option to abandon today is:
16. If the project is a success, the present value of the future cash flows will be:
If the sales are only 3,900 units, from Problem 14, we know we will abandon the project, with a
The NPV is the present value of the expected value in one year minus the cost of the equipment, so: