Chapter 37 – Financial Economics
37-12
4. Consider an asset that costs $120 today. You are going to hold it for 1 year and then sell it.
Suppose that there is a 25 percent chance that it will be worth $100 in a year, a 25 percent chance
that it will be worth $115 in a year, and a 50 percent chance that it will be worth $140 in a year.
What is its average expected rate of return? Next, figure out what the investment’s average
expected rate of return would be if its current price were $130 today. Does the increase in the
current price increase or decrease the asset’s average expected rate of return? At what price
would the asset have a zero average expected rate of return? LO4
5. Suppose initially that two assets, A and B, will each make a single guaranteed payment of $100
in 1 year. But asset A has a current price of $80 while asset B has a current price of $90. LO6
a. What are the rates of return of assets A and B at their current prices? Given these rates of
return, which asset should investors buy and which asset should they sell?
b. Assume that arbitrage continues until A and B have the same expected rate of return. When
arbitrage ends, will A and B have the same price?
Next, consider another pair of assets, C and D. Asset C will make a single payment of $150 in
one year while D will make a single payment of $200 in one year. Assume that the current price
of C is $120 and that the current price of D is $180.
c. What are the rates of return of assets C and D at their current prices? Given these rates of
return, which asset should investors buy and which asset should they sell?
d. Assume that arbitrage continues until C and D have the same expected rate of return. When
arbitrage ends, will C and D have the same price?
Compare your answers to questions a through d before answering question e.
e. We know that arbitrage will equalize rates of return. Does it also guarantee to equalize prices?
In what situations will it equalize prices?