Both hedgers and speculators are necessary for an active, liquid
derivatives market.
While forward and futures contracts can be used for speculative purposes,
the chapter focuses on the use of these derivative securities to reduce risk.
Either side of a forward or futures contract can be used to hedge:
1. A short futures hedge involves selling a futures contract. Short hedges
are used when you will be making delivery of an asset at a future date
(e.g., a farmer anticipating a harvest of wheat) and wish to minimize the
risk of a drop in price.
2. A long futures hedge involves buying a futures contract. Long hedges are
used when you must purchase an asset at a future date (e.g., a bakery with
a demand for wheat) and wish to minimize the risk of a rise in price.
Lecture Tip: It may be beneficial to demonstrate a futures hedge and the
potential payoffs for a soybean farmer who anticipates a harvest of
100,000 bushels in September. Costs to produce the soybeans are incurred
long before the harvest, but the farmer is at risk that the price of soybeans
will fall before harvest time. To reduce this risk, the farmer takes a short
position (because he wants to sell the soybeans) in the futures contract.
This short position offsets the long position that he already has in
soybeans.
Futures contract terms are for 5,000 bushels, and the current futures
price is $4.50 per bushel. The farmer can lock in the delivery price of
soybeans at $4.50 for his harvest by shorting (selling) 20 soybean futures
contracts on June 1st. No cash changes hands today, although margin is
held in the farmer’s account. The 20 contracts represent delivery of
100,000 bushels. The cash flow at delivery is $4.50(100,000) = $450,000
Date Closing Farmer Net
06/01 no money changes hands
06/10 4.60 pay 10,000 (-.1*100,000) -10,000
06/15 4.40 receive 20,000 (.2*100,000) +10,000
06/30 4.20 receive 20,000 +30,000
07/20 4.30 pay 10,000 +20,000
08/05 4.40 pay 10,000 +10,000
08/16 4.20 receive 20,000 +30,000
09/01 4.20
The farmer will deliver the soybeans and receive $4.20 per bushel for
420,000 + 30,000 profit from the futures for a total cash inflow of
450,000.
If a bumper crop occurs and the farmer harvests 120,000 bushels, the
farmer will receive 450,000 for the first 100,000 and then an addition
20,000*4.20 = 84,000 for the extra.