IM – 8 | 2
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effect on a further independent event
• Overlooking prior probabilities—failing to take into consideration the likelihood of an
event all other things being equal; that is, its likelihood apart from any outside influences
Answers to Text Exercises
Exercise 8-1
Exercise 8-4
1. ▲e. Equivocation
2. c. Undistributed middle fallacy
3. a. Affirming the consequent
4. h. Miscalculating probabilities
15. ▲c. Undistributed middle fallacy
16. b. Denying the antecedent
17. b. Denying the antecedent
18. a. Affirming the consequent
19. h. Miscalculating probabilities [gambler’s fallacy]
20. ▲f. Composition
21. f. Composition
22. g. Division
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