10. For each of the following possible events, indicate whether the global value of the U.S. dollar
will A: rise or B: fall.
(a) American cars become suddenly more popular abroad.
(b) Inflation in the United States accelerates.
(c) The United States falls into a recession.
(d) Interest rates in the United States drop.
(e) The United States experiences rapid increases in productivity.
(f) Anticipating a return to the gold standard, Americans suddenly rush to buy gold from the
two big producers, South Africa and the Soviet Union.
(g) War is declared in the Middle East.
(h) The stock markets in the United States collapse.
(LO 22-03)
Answers:
(a) (A) Rise.
Feedback:
(a) If American cars suddenly become more popular abroad, demand for the dollar will increase
(foreigners must purchase American cars with dollars), causing a rise in the value of the U.S.
dollar.
(b) If inflation in the United States accelerates, U.S. products become more expensive abroad
and fewer U.S. exports are purchased. This leads to a decrease in the demand for dollars and a
fall in the value of the U.S. dollar.
(c) In a recession, U.S. incomes are depressed and Americans spend less, including less on
imports. So the supply of dollars diminishes and the dollar rises in value.
(d) If interest rates in the U.S. drop, investors will want to move their deposits from the U.S. to
countries where a greater return can be earned. Demand for the U.S. dollar will fall, and it will
depreciate.
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