23. Portfolio effect of a merger (LO13-5) Hooper Chemical Company, a major chemical firm
that uses such raw materials as carbon and petroleum as part of its production process, is
examining a plastics firm to add to its operations. Before the acquisition, the normal
expected outcomes for the firm were as follows:
Outcomes
($ millions) Probability
Recession……………………….. $20 .30
Normal economy…………….. 40 .40
Strong economy………………. 60 .30
After the acquisition, the expected outcomes for the firm would be:
Outcomes
($ millions) Probability
Recession……………………….. $10 .3
Normal economy…………….. 40 .4
Strong economy………………. 80 .3
a. Compute the expected value, standard deviation, and coefficient of variation before
the acquisition.
b. After the acquisition, these values are as follows:
Expected value…………………………………. 43.0 ($ millions)
Standard deviation…………………………….. 27.2 ($ millions)
Coefficient of variation………………………. .633
Comment on whether this acquisition appears desirable to you.
c. Do you think the firm’s stock price is likely to go up as a result of this acquisition?
d. If the firm was interested in reducing its risk exposure, which of the following three
industries would you advise it to consider for an acquisition? Briefly comment on
your answer.
(1) Chemical company
(2) Oil company
(3) Computer company
13-23. Solution:
Hooper Chemical Co.
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