Flow of Funds Exercise
Interest Rate Expectations, Economic Growth, and Bond Financing
Recall that if the economy continues to be strong, Carson Company may need to increase its production
capacity by about 50 percent over the next few years to satisfy demand. It would need financing to
expand and accommodate the increase in production. Recall that the yield curve is currently upward
sloping. Also recall that Carson is concerned about a possible slowing of the economy because of
potential Fed actions to reduce inflation. It needs funding to cover payments for supplies. It is also
considering the issuance of stock or bonds to raise funds in the next year.
a. At a recent meeting, the Chief Executive Officer (CEO) stated his view that the economy will
remain strong, as the Fed’s monetary policy is not likely to have a major impact on the interest
rates. So he wants to expand the business to benefit from the expected increase in demand for
Carson’s products. The next step would be to determine how to finance the expansion. The Chief
Financial Officer (CFO) stated that if Carson Company needs to obtain long-term funds, the
issuance of fixed-rate bonds would be ideal at this point in time because he expects that the Fed’s
monetary policy to reduce inflation and will cause long-term interest rates to rise. If the CFO is
correct about future interest rates, what does this suggest about the future economic growth, the
future demand for Carson’s products, and the need to issue bonds?
b. If you were involved in the meeting described here, what do you think needs to be resolved
before deciding to expand the business?
There should be a clear conclusion about the Fed’s impact on interest rates. If the CEO is correct
c. At the meeting described here, the Chief Executive Officer (CEO) stated the following:
“The decision to expand should not be dictated by whether interest rates are going to increase or
not. Bonds should be issued only if the potential increase in interest rates is attributed to a strong
demand for loanable funds rather than the Fed’s reduction in the supply of loanable funds.” What
does this statement mean?
If interest rates rise as a result of the Fed’s actions, its monetary policy is intended to slow
economic growth as a means of reducing inflation. In this case, Carson should not expand