The student’s decisions will likely be: (1) leave the monetary policy as is, which offers no cure for the
18. Economic Indicators. Stock market conditions serve as a leading economic indicator. Assuming the
U.S. economy is in a recession, what are the implications of this indicator? Why might this indicator
be inaccurate?
ANSWER: If stock prices are a leading economic indicator, then the stock market will move up
before the economy begins to recover from a recession. An improvement in the stock market may
19. How the Fed Should Respond to Prevailing Conditions. Consider the existing economic
conditions, including inflation and economic growth. Do you think the Fed should increase interest
rates, reduce interest rates, or leave interest rates at their present levels? Offer some logic to support
your answer.
ANSWER: This question is open-ended. It requires students to apply the concepts that were presented
20. Impact of Inflation Targeting by the Fed. Assume that the Fed adopts an inflation-targeting
strategy. If oil prices rise abruptly by 15 percent in response to an oil shortage, describe how the Fed’s
monetary policy would be affected by this situation. Do you think the inflation-targeting strategy
would be more or less effective in this case than if the Fed balances its inflation concerns with
unemployment concerns? Explain.
ANSWER: If the Fed uses an inflation targeting strategy, it will need to use a tight (restrictive)
monetary policy in response to the oil price shock so that it can attempt to slow economic growth and
21. Predicting the Fed’s Actions. Assume the following conditions. The last time the FOMC met, it
decided to raise interest rates. At that time economic growth was very strong, and inflation was
relatively high. Since the last meeting, economic growth has weakened, and the unemployment rate
will likely rise by one percentage point over the quarter. The FOMC’s next meeting is tomorrow. Do
you think the FOMC will revise its targeted federal funds rate? If so, how?
ANSWER: The Fed would likely not change the target. It probably raised interest rates at the last
22. The Fed’s Impact on the Housing Market. In periods when home prices declined substantially,
some homeowners blamed the Fed. In other periods when home prices increased, homeowners gave
credit to the Fed. How can the Fed have such a large impact on home prices? How could news of a
substantial increase in the general inflation level affect the Fed’s monetary policy and thereby affect
home prices?