11. Active portfolio management involves taking risks to improve returns. specific strategies
involve altering the maturity/duration of investments in anticipation of rate moves,
swapping securities for yield, tax, or default risk reasons, and occasionally liquidating
discount bonds to reinvest at higher rates. Generally, banks that follow active strategies
classify most securities as available for sale because they may want to sell the instruments
prior to maturity.
12. Interest rates and the level of economic activity vary coincidentally over time. Interest rates
rise when aggregate spending rises and borrowers compete for financing. Interest rates fall
when spending and borrowing pressures decline. Movements in short-term rates typically
exceed movements in long-term rates.
13. Contra-cyclical investing requires that banks increase the size of their investment portfolio
and lengthen maturities when loan demand is high. This generally coincides with peaks in
the level of interest rates. The cost is that some loan customers are rationed out of the
market and the bank may lose them as permanent customers. When loan demand is low,
banks should keep investments short-term because rates are generally low and will likely
increase. Such investment timing should enable banks to lengthen security maturities when
interest rates are relatively high and thus earn above-average coupon interest.
14. Riding the yield curve involves buying securities with a maturity longer than the bank’s
(investor’s) holding period. With an upsloping yield curve, long-term rates exceed short-term
rates. If the level of rates falls, stays constant, or rises only modestly, the purchase of a
long-term security will increase total return. Total return is greater than buying a
shorter-term security due to the higher coupon interest, higher reinvestment income, and
capital gain if rates move as anticipated.
15. Many banks buy callable agency securities and mortgage-backed securities that contain
embedded options. Callable bonds can be called (prepaid) prior to maturity at the issuer’s
discretion. Mortgage-backed securities (MBSs) can be prepaid at speeds different than that
expected when borrowers refinance. These options are diGcult to value. In general, the
bank as investor sells the option to the security issuer (mortgage borrower). In turn, the
bank receives a higher promised yield. If interest rates fall, the security will not increase in
price beyond some base level because the security will be called or prepaid.
16. The concepts of effective duration and effective convexity describe the price sensitivity of
securities with embedded options. These measures provide an estimate of the price
sensitivity of the underlying security, on average, in rising versus falling rate environments.
17. Many analysts and investors use option-adjusted spread (OAS) to assess whether a specific
security with embedded options is priced reasonably. OAS represents the incremental yield
earned by an investor over the Treasury spot curve a1er accounting for the value of the
embedded option. It is estimated by simulating interest rates and when options will be
exercised, then determining the yield spread over the spot curve that discounts expected
cash <ows to the prevailing security price, on average.
18. The Tax Reform Act of 1986 reduced the tax advantage to most municipal bonds. Only bank
qualified municipals are tax-sheltered to banks, which can deduct 80% of the carrying cost to