Income statement Financial ratio analysis
Prior Current Forecast Forecast Forecast Forecast Forecast Prior Current Forecast Forecast Forecast Forecast Forecast
year year year 1 year 2 year 3 year 4 year 5 year year year 1 year 2 year 3 year 4 year 5
Revenues 1,100 1,188 1,485 1,856 2,320 2,900 3,625 Revenues n/a 8.0% 25.0% 25.0% 25.0% 25.0% 25.0%
Cost of sales (825) (891) (1,114) (1,392) (1,740) (2,175) (2,719) Cost of sales/revenues 75.0% 75.0% 75.0% 75.0% 75.0% 75.0% 75.0%
Selling costs (165) (178) (223) (278) (348) (435) (544) Selling costs/revenues 15.0% 15.0% 15.0% 15.0% 15.0% 15.0% 15.0%
Depreciation (28) (30) (32) (40) (50) (63) (78)
Depreciation/net PP&Et–1 n/a 6.8% 6.8% 6.8% 6.8% 6.8% 6.8%
Operating profit 82 89 116 146 182 227 284 Operating profits 7.5% 7.5% 7.8% 7.8% 7.8% 7.8% 7.8%
Interest (15) (15) (15) (15) (15) (15) (21) Interest, % of prior debt n/a 5.0% 5.0% 5.0% 5.0% 5.0% 5.0%
Earnings before taxes (EBT) 67 74 101 131 167 212 263 Earnings before taxes (EBT) 6.1% 6.2% 6.8% 7.0% 7.2% 7.3% 7.3%
Taxes (20) (22) (30) (39) (50) (64) (79) Effective tax rate, % of EBT 30.0% 30.0% 30.0% 30.0% 30.0% 30.0% 30.0%
Net income 47 52 71 91 117 149 184 Net income 4.3% 4.4% 4.8% 4.9% 5.0% 5.1% 5.1%
Dividends 19 21 29 37 47 60 75 Dividend payout ratio 40.3% 40.5% 40.5% 40.5% 40.5% 40.5% 40.5%
Balance sheet Financial ratio analysis
$ million % of revenue (or cost of sales)
Prior Current Forecast Forecast Forecast Forecast Forecast Prior Current Forecast Forecast Forecast Forecast Forecast
Assets year year year 1 year 2 year 3 year 4 year 5 Assets year year year 1 year 2 year 3 year 4 year 5
Working cash 22 24 30 37 46 58 73 Working cash/revenues 2.0% 2.0% 2.0% 2.0% 2.0% 2.0% 2.0%
Excess cash 385 378 289 180 46 – – Excess cash – – 19.5% 9.7% 2.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Accounts receivable 110 119 149 186 232 290 363 Accounts receivable 10.0% 10.0% 10.0% 10.0% 10.0% 10.0% 10.0%
Inventory 124 134 167 209 261 326 408 Inventory, % of cost of sales 15.0% 15.0% 15.0% 15.0% 15.0% 15.0% 15.0%
Current assets 641 654 635 612 585 674 843
Property, plant and equipment, net 440 475 594 743 928 1,160 1,450 Property and equipment/revenues 40.0% 40.0% 40.0% 40.0% 40.0% 40.0% 40.0%
Equity investments 320 320 320 320 320 320 320 Equity investments, $ million 320 320 320 320 320 320 320
Total assets 1,401 1,449 1,549 1,674 1,833 2,154 2,613 Total assets/revenues 127.4% 122.0% 104.3% 90.2% 79.0% 74.3% 72.1%
All asset accounts except excess cash 1,259 1,494 1,788 2,154 2,613
Liabilities and equity Liabilities and equity
Accounts payable 124 134 167 209 261 326 408 Accounts payable, % of cost of sales 15.0% 15.0% 15.0% 15.0% 15.0% 15.0% 15.0%
Short-term debt 90 90 90 90 90 90 90 Short-term debt, $ million 90 90 90 90 90 90 90
Accrued expenses 88 95 119 149 186 232 290 Accrued expenses 8.0% 8.0% 8.0% 8.0% 8.0% 8.0% 8.0%
Current liabilities 302 319 376 447 537 648 788
Long-term debt 210 210 210 210 210 210 210 Long-term debt, $ million 210 210 210 210 210 210 210
Newly issued debt – – 0.0 0.0 0.0 121.1 330.5 Total debt, $ million 210 210 210 210 210 210 210
Common stock 150 150 150 150 150 150 150 Common stock, $ million 150 150 150 150 150 150 150
Retained earnings 739 770 813 867 937 1,025 1,135
Liabilities and equity 1,401 1,449 1,549 1,674 1,833 2,154 2,613
Debt to equity (book) 140.0% 140.0% 140.0%
All liabilities and equity accounts except short-term debt 1,549 1,674 1,833 2,033 2,283
Now the company requires additional debt to fund the large increase in property, plant, and equipment needed to achieve the high growth in sales.
If this firm were able to achieve some economies of scale, it might not need as much property, plant, and equipment, which might lessen the need