What should MPC do? Unless (1) MPC has another yen exposure that is the opposite
of the one created by the purchase of the computer equipment, or (2) the size of the
exposure (JPY250 million) is not significant when compared to MPC cash revenues,
9. Currency risk management.
The problem here is that there are two sources of uncertainty: the exposure, which is
In the past, the firm is successful, on average, in 67 percent of the bids that they submit.
This means that if they use forward contracts—either 30-day or 90-day maturities—to
hedge these exposures, one-third of the time they would end up with an open forward
contract that could produce either a gain or loss depending on the spot rate at which they
would close it out. In essence, they would have a €2,500,000 open position one-third of
the time. The hedge would be to sell forward the amount of the exposure. If the bid were
not successful, they would have to buy euros on the spot market to close out the forward
contract. To illustrate the risk, if the euro were to appreciate by 5 percent, they would
A more satisfactory hedge could be a compound option (an option to buy an option) but
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