366 GAME APPLICATIONS (Ch. 30)
In a mixed strategy equilibrium each player’s strategy is chosen at
random. The batter will be willing to choose a random strategy only if
the expected payoff to swinging high is the same as the expected payoff
to swinging low.
The payoffs from swinging high or swinging low depend on what the
pitcher does. Let πPbe the probability that the pitcher throws high and
1−πPbe the probability that he throws low. The batter realizes that if
he swings high, he will get a payoff of 0 if the pitcher throws low and 1
if the pitcher throws high. The expected payoff to the batter is therefore
πP.
If the pitcher throws low, then the only way the batter can score is
if pitcher pitches low, which happens with probability 1 −πP.Eventhen
the batter only connects half the time. So the expected payoff to the
batter from swinging low is .5(1 −πP).
These two expected payoffs are equalized when πP=.5(1 −πP). If
we solve this equation, we find πP=1/3. This has to be the probability
that the pitcher throws high in a mixed strategy equilibrium.
Now let us find the probability that the batter swings low in a mixed
strategy equilibrium. In equilibrium, the batter’s probability πBfrom
swinging low must be such that the pitcher gets the same expected payoff
from throwing high as from throwing low The expected payoff to the
pitcher is the probability that the batter does not score.
If the pitcher throws high, then the batter will not connect if he
swings low, but will connect if he swings high, so the expected payoff to
the pitcher from pitching high is πB.
If the pitcher throws low, then with probability (1 −πB), the batter
will swing swing high, in which case the pitcher gets a payoff of 1. But
when the pitcher throws low, the batter will swing low with probability πB
and connect half the time, giving a payoff to the pitcher of .5πB. Therefore
the expected payoff to the pitcher from throwing low is (1 −πB)+.5πB=
1−.5πB. Equalizing the payoff to the pitcher from throwing high and
throwing low requires πB=1−.5πB. Solving this equation we find that
in the equilibrium mixed strategy, πB=2/3.
Summing up, the pitcher should throw low two-thirds of the time,
and the batter should swing low two-thirds of the time.
Calculus 30.1 (2) Two software companies sell competing products. These prod-
ucts are substitutes, so that the number of units that either company sells
is a decreasing function of its own price and an increasing function of the
other product’s price. Let p1be the price and x1the quantity sold of
product 1 and let p2and x2be the price and quantity sold of product
2. Then x1= 1000 90 −1
2p1+1
4p2and x2= 1000 90 −1
2p2+1
4p1.
Each company has incurred a fixed cost for designing their software and
writing the programs, but the cost of selling to an extra user is zero.
Therefore each company will maximize its profits by choosing the price
that maximizes its total revenue.