Chapter 3
1. You wish to estimate the utility to you of earning the annual salaries in the left column of
Table 3.1. You fix the utility of $10,000 arbitrarily at 15, and the utility of $40,000 arbitrarily at
25. You decide that you are indifferent between (a) receiving a sure salary of Q between $10,000
and $40,000 and (b) taking a chance of receiving $40,000 with probability p and $10,000 with
probability 1 p, where Q and p are shown in the table. Calculate the utility of salaries
$15,000, $20,000, and $30,000.
The utility u(Q) of receiving a sure salary of Q is the expected utility
(1 ) (10,000) (40,000)– +p u pu
where p is the probability for which you are indifferent between (a) receiving Q for sure and (b)
receiving 40,000 with probability p and 10,000 with probability
1 p. So
(15,000) (1 0.35) (10,000) (0.35) (40,000) (0.65)(15) (0.35)(25) 18.5= – + = + =u u u
(20,000) (1 0.6) (10,000) (0.6) (40,000) (0.4)(15) (0.6)(25) 21= – + = + =u u u
(30,000) (1 0.85) (10,000) (0.85) (40,000) (0.15)(15) (0.85)(25) 23.5= – + = + =u u u
2.* The previous exercise does not yield utilities for $5,000 and $50,000. However, you are
indifferent between (a) receiving $10,000 for sure and (b) receiving $40,000 with probability p
and $5,000 with probability 1 p, where p = 1/3. Use this to calculate the utility of $5,000.
Hint. Suppose, in general, that you fix utilities for salaries Q1 and Q2 (here, $10,000 and
$40,000, respectively) and wish to calculate the utility of some salary Q that is less than
$10,000. If you are indifferent between (a) receiving Q1 and (b) a lottery in which you receive Q2
with probability p and Q with probability 1 p, then this allows you to solve for u(Q) in terms of
u(Q1) and u(Q2).
Following the hint, we equate the utility of Q1 with the expected utility of the lottery involving Q
and Q2:
1 2
( ) (1 ) ( ) ( )= – +u Q p u Q pu Q
Solving for u(Q), we get
1 2
( ) ( ) (10,000) (1 / 3) (40,000) 15 (1/ 3)(25)
( ) = 10
1 1 (1/ 3) 2 / 3
– – –
= = =
– –
u Q pu Q u u
u Q p