14. The Lake Sharkey BBQ Pit
Using OM Explorer, the greatest expected payoff is $10,300 at an order quantity
of 2000 pounds.
Inputs
Solver – One-Period Inventory Decisions
Enter data in yellow shaded areas.
Profit $9.00 (if sold during preferred period)
Loss $2.00 (if sold after preferred period)
Enter the possible demands along with the probability of each occurring. Use the buttons to increase or decrease
the number of allowable demand forecasts. NOTE: Be sure to enter demand forecasts and probabilities in all tinted
cells, and be sure probabilities add up to 1.
Demand 500 1000 1500 2000 2500
Probability 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.15 0.05
Payoff Table
Demand
500 1000 1500 2000 2500
Quantity 500 4500 4500 4500 4500 4500
1000 3500 9000 9000 9000 9000
1500 2500 8000 13500 13500 13500
2000 1500 7000 12500 18000 18000
2500 500 6000 11500 17000 22500
Weighted Payoffs
Order Expected
Quantity Payoff
500 4500 Greatest Expected Payoff 10300
1000 8450
1500 10200 Associated with Order Quantity 2000
2000 10300