Which course of action do you recommend Grupo Modelo take and why?
Alternatives yen bonds bonds bonds
Coupon rate 3.000% 7.000% 5.000%
Current spot rate, yen/$ 106.00 1.1960$
Expected change in the value of the foreign currency 2.000% -2.000% 0.000%
Principal needed by Grupo Modelo 100,000,000$
Calculation of the dollar cost debt alternatives Year 0 Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4
Proceeds and principal and interest payments 10,600,000,000 (318,000,000) (318,000,000) (318,000,000) (10,918,000,000)
Expected exchange rate (yen/$) 106.00 103.92 101.88 99.89 97.93
US dollar equivalent in expected cash flows 100,000,000$ (3,060,000)$ (3,121,200)$ (3,183,624)$ (111,490,512)$
IRR of US$ cash flow stream (cost of funds) 5.060%
Proceeds and principal and interest payments € 83,612,040 -€ 5,852,843 -€ 5,852,843 -€ 5,852,843 -€ 89,464,883
Expected exchange rate (yen/$) 1.1960 1.1721 1.1486 1.1257 1.1032
US dollar equivalent in expected cash flows 100,000,000$ (6,860,000)$ (6,722,800)$ (6,588,344)$ (98,693,393)$
IRR of US$ cash flow stream (cost of funds) 4.860%
Proceeds and principal and interest payments 100,000,000$ (5,000,000)$ (5,000,000)$ (5,000,000)$ (105,000,000)$
IRR of US$ cash flow stream (cost of funds) 5.000%
Given the expected exchange rate changes, the euro-denominated bonds have the lowest all-in-cost of funds for the Mexico-based company, Grupo Modelo.
(Note that it is the expected changes in exchange rates which determine this outcome. In the event that all currencies were expected to remain fixed, an expected
change of 0%, then the Japanese yen bonds are clearly the cheapest source of capital.)
c. Sell U.S. dollar bonds at par yielding 5% per annum.
Problem 14.16 Grupo Modelo S.B.A de C.V.
Grupo Modelo, a brewery out of Mexico that exports such well-known varieties as Corona, Modelo and Pacifico, is Mexican by incorporation. However, the company evaluates all
business results, including financing costs, in U.S. dollars. The company needs to borrow $10,000,000 or the foreign currency equivalent for four years. For all issues, interest is
payable once per year, at the end of the year. Available alternatives are:
b. Sell euro-denominated bonds at par yielding 7% per annum. The current exchange rate is $1.1960/€, and the euro is expected to weaken against the dollar by 2% per annum.
a. Sell Japanese yen bonds at par yielding 3% per annum. The current exchange rate is ¥106/$, and the yen is expected to strengthen against the dollar by 2% per annum.