Scott, Financial Accounting Theory, 7th Edition Instructor’s Solutions Manual Chapter 11
464
Additional Problems
11A-1. This problem is based on the paper by Elliott, Hanna, and Shaw (EHS), “The
Evaluation by the Financial Markets of Changes in Bank Loan Loss Reserve Levels,”
The Accounting Review (October, 1991), pp. 847–861. While the main research
interest of this article is information transfer (the impact of a firm’s financial statements
on the share prices of other firms—on this topic, see Lambert, Leuz, and Verrecchia
(2007) in Section 12.9.1), the evidence in the paper also provides an interesting and
persuasive illustration of how earnings management (in this case, the establishment of
loan loss reserves) can reveal inside information.
During 1987, many United States banks faced severe problems with respect to loans
to “lesser developed countries” (LDCs). For example, on February 20, 1987, Brazil
declared a moratorium on interest payments on $67 billion of its debt. This led to
problems of how to account for the LDC loans by the banks that were affected.
On May 19, 1987 (4.45 pm , i.e., after markets closed at 4PM), Citicorp (a money–
center bank and, at the time, the largest U.S. bank) announced a $3 billion increase in
its loan loss reserve for LDC loans. This amount equalled 25% of the book value of its
LDC loans. In the 2 days following the announcement, Citicorp’s share price rose by
10.1%, after falling by 3.1% on May 19. The market had possibly anticipated the4.45
pm announcement.
EHS also examined the share price behaviour of 45 other U.S. banks with foreign
loans in excess of $100,000 and which announced increases in their loan loss
provisions during 1987. Of these banks, 11 (excluding Citicorp) were money–center
banks (with major LDC exposure) and 34 other, regional banks (with lower LDC
exposure). For a 3–day window surrounding the May 19, 1987 Citicorp announcement,
EHS report the following abnormal returns:
11 money–center banks: 1.14%
34 other banks –.054%