10-30
2. Cost to produce the 2nd through the 7th boats assuming linear function for direct labor–
hours and units produced:
Direct manufacturing labor (DML), 6
Variable manufacturing overhead, 6
Other manufacturing overhead, 20% of DML costs
The difference in predicted costs is:
Predicted cost in requirement 2
(based on linear cost function)
Predicted cost in requirement 1
(based on 90% learning curve)
Difference in favor of learning curve cost function
Note that the linear cost function assumption leads to a total cost that is 35% higher than the cost
predicted by the learning curve model. Learning curve effects are most prevalent in large
manufacturing industries such as airplanes and boats where costs can run into the millions or
hundreds of millions of dollars, resulting in very large and monetarily significant differences
between the two models. In the case of Nautilus, if it is in fact easier to produce additional boats
as the firm gains experience, the learning curve model is the right one to use. The firm can better
forecast its future costs and use that information to submit an appropriate cost bid to the Navy, as
well as refine its pricing plans for other potential customers.