Chapter 20 – Money, Financial Institutions, and the Federal Reserve
Fast forward six years later, however, and the dollar remains the world’s most powerful banknote.
In fact, its value compared to other currencies recently hit a four-year high as most nations continue to
depend on the dollar for their reserve cash. What’s more, policymakers who initially called for a change
have more or less ignored their own advice. China, for instance, now holds $1.27 trillion in U.S. Treasury
securities, a 75 percent jump from 2008. While the dollar’s resurgence can be partly credited to robust
economic growth, the simple truth is that no other currency could feasibly replace it. While the euro was
once tapped as a possible successor, the currency lost many supporters amidst the chaos of the continent’s
sovereign debt crisis. In terms of the future, China and Russia plan to increase the value of their curren-
cies by conducting more trade in yuan and rubles, respectively. The dollar could take some damage if
more nations adapt similar policies, but even then the effects of those plans would not be felt for many
years. So at least for the moment, the color of much of the world’s money will remain green.iii
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WRENCHING INFLATION OUT OF THE ECONOMY
The Federal Reserve’s primary function is to control the money supply. It uses its tools to in-
crease or decrease the money supply in response to changing economic conditions. When the economy is
slowing, the Fed increases the money supply, which results in lower interest rates and more investment.
When the economy is overheated, the Fed takes money out of circulation, driving up interest rates.
But during the late 1970s, the economic conditions were more complicated. The economy was
less than robust—the decade saw a series of economic dips—but at the same time, inflation was driving
up prices at an alarming rate. The combination became known as “stagflation.” In 1979, the inflation rate
was 14.6%. A dollar at the beginning of the year would be worth less than 85cents by the end of the year.
Prices increased rapidly, followed by wages. Because of the declining value of money, consumers rushed
out to buy products before prices increased. More money chasing a fixed amount of goods drove inflation
up still further.
During the 1970s, the Fed managed the economy with an eye on interest rates. If interest rates in-
creased, the Fed put more money into circulation. The goal was a stable interest rate to provide equilibri-
um in nation’s economy.
In 1980, President Jimmy Carter appointed Paul Volcker as chair of the Federal Reserve with a
mandate to stabilize inflation. Volcker brought a radical new philosophy to the Fed leadership. Instead of
using interest rates to control the economy, he believed that the only hope for stopping inflation was to
control inflation’s fuel—the money in circulation.
The Fed immediately put the brakes on the money supply. Then it relied on basic laws of supply
and demand to set the price of the fixed amount of money in circulation. With less money created, the
existing money in circulation became more valuable. In order to secure financing, businesses had to pay
more for the money they needed and the cost of money (the interest rate) soared.
By 1981, the prime interest rate peaked at 21.5%. The high interest rate dramatically affected all
businesses activity, but the housing market was hit especially hard. The difference between a mortgage at
8% and a mortgage at 14% amounted to hundreds of dollars a month in increased mortgage expense.
Realtors and homeowners scrambled to find creative financing options to move property. The high inter-
est rates also brought business expansion to a halt, throwing the economy into recession.
Volcker’s Fed held fast to its fixed money philosophy. By 1982, it succeeded in reducing the in-
flation rate to 3.9%, but the cost was high. The U.S. unemployment rate that year climbed to 9.7%. Al-
most 1 in 10 workers was out of a job.