Chapter 19 – Using Securities Markets for Financing and Investing Opportunities
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greater problems. Alcoa, a Dow fixture for more than 50 years, left the index after falling 7 percent this
year and selling at a paltry average of about $8 per share. The move represents the Dow’s biggest shakeup
since 2004 when AT&T, Kodak and International Paper made way for Verizon, Pfizer and AIG. Still,
while no doubt a major change, this latest substitution is unlikely to have much of an effect on prices of
individual stocks. “Despite the popularity of the Dow Jones Industrial Average in the press, it’s a lot less
significant than an addition to the Russell 2000 or an addition to the S&P 500, because it‘s just not an in-
dex that institutions benchmark to,” says an analyst at Credit Suisse Group.v
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THE DAY THEY CALL “BLACK TUESDAY”
October 29, 1929, “Black Tuesday,” was the day the boom of the 1920s ended. The market slides
of 1987 and 1997 are often compared with this historical watershed.
Few suspected that the go-go era would end so abruptly. Between the spring of 1926 and the
spring of 1929, the Dow Jones Industrial Average had more than doubled. During the summer of 1929, it
increased another 25%. The national economy, while showing signs of weakness, did not discourage the
speculation boom. Investors with as little as 10% cash margin flocked into the market, lured by news of
steadily increasing prices. The DJIA reached a peak of 381 on September 3, 1929.
The Federal Reserve Board made a half-hearted attempt to slow down the expansion, jolting pric-
es down briefly during September, but it was not until October 24, a Thursday, that the slide became a
crash. On that day, nearly 13 million shares changed hands, 56% more than the previous record. As prices
dropped, brokers called investors for more margin, fueling more selling. Only when the nation’s top five
banks agreed to pool their resources to support the market did the hysteria lessen temporarily.
Monday the selling began again, dropping the Dow by one-day record 38 points, fully 13% of the
total market value. There was nothing the banks could do. The next day, Tuesday, October 29, the bottom
dropped out. The Dow dropped 31 more points, on a volume of 16.4 million shares. In two days, the mar-
ket lost almost 25% of its value. Tuesday’s volume record stood for nearly four decades. In five trading
days, the gains of the previous 16 months were wiped out.
By July, 1932, the DJIA had bottomed out at 41, a reduction of nearly 90% from its peak three
years previously. Investors lost more than $74 billion in the collapse. It was not until 1954 that the stock
market managed to regain the ground it lost in those three years.
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INVESTING IN COMMODITIES
Commodities can be high-risk investments for most investors. Investors willing to speculate in
commodities hope to profit handsomely from the rise and fall of prices of items such as coffee, wheat,
pork bellies (slabs of bacon), petroleum, and other articles of commerce (commodities) that are scheduled
for delivery at a given (future) date. Trading in commodities is not for the novice investor; it demands
much expertise. Small shifts in the prices of certain items can result in significant gains and losses. It’s
estimated, in fact, that 75 to 80% of the investors who speculate in commodities lose money in the long
term.