Congressmen and the military.3 The best known federal pension fund is the Old Age and
Survivors Insurance Fund or better known as simply “Social Security.” Social Security (SS)
was created in 1935 as a result of the Depression to provide subsistence funds to retirees. The
President at the time, Franklin Roosevelt, intended that the plan would always be maintained on
a fiscally sound basis. Social Security taxes (FICA on your wage statement) are 7.65% of the
first $115,500 earned, and employers also make contributions to get the tax rate up to 15.30%.
Self-employed individuals contribute 15.30%. In 2010 Social Security receipts were not
sufficient to pay obligations for the first time. The fund has sufficient IOUs from the Treasury to
prevent bankruptcy until the year 2033, although these projections vary with the economy.
Note: Data from the following is drawn from the sources listed at the end.
Teaching Tip: In 1960 there were 5 workers per retiree, there are currently slightly over 3 and in
2035 there are projected to be only 2 workers per retiree. In 2004 SS ran a $151 billion surplus
but it is projected to begin running ever increasing deficits in 2018. The surplus is invested in
U.S. Treasury bonds which will mature when baby boomers retire and should allow SS to pay
currently promised benefits until 2033 depending on estimates. The trust fund is currently about
$1.5 trillion but is underfunded over the next 75 years by as much as $3.7 trillion. That is a large
amount even to Congress. Moreover, Medicare and Medicaid face substantially more serious
funding problems. (See Article #4)
An analysis of the numbers indicates that the longer we wait to fix the problem the greater the
burdens will be on taxpayers and/or retirees. Ignoring privatization for the moment, the
alternatives are to increase payroll taxes now, wait and increase taxes more later, increase the
amount of income on which payroll taxes are collected, raise the retirement age, tax more SS
payments, and/or cut benefits. If we raise payroll taxes now, only a modest 15% increase from
the current payroll tax level would be required. If we wait however, payroll tax rates of 30% or
more will be required.4 Other than cutting benefits or raising taxes, several other proposals have
been made to shore up the Social Security fund, including raising the minimum age to collect full
benefits, encouraging workers to redirect some of their payroll taxes to private investments with
associated reductions in Social Security benefits, and changing how benefits are indexed to
inflation. It is likely that some combination of these changes will be implemented.
President Bush proposed partial privatization of the Social Security system. Various ideas
were considered, some would have allowed people to divert a part of their payroll tax (usually
4%) to private accounts, other plans would require the full payroll tax be paid into Social
Security but would have allowed supplemental amounts to go to private accounts. The
President’s idea assumed benefits were likely to be cut, so the potentially higher earnings on
private accounts could be used to more than make up for losses from the reduced SS benefits. It
is important to understand however that privatization is a separable issue from fixing the SS
system. Bush argued that increasing ownership of retirement accounts would encourage people
to become more fully engaged in the economic system. Presumably this would have provided
people with incentives to work harder and have a greater interest in how the economy performs,
3Probably a guaranteed method to ensure the continue viability of Social Security would be to
include Congressional pensions in Social Security!
4 This figure assumes that no other changes are made of course, data are drawn from Article #4)